Goldflights RENKO strategy Caso alguém esteja sugerindo mudanças, estas são as mudanças na minha versão de desenvolvimento que está passando por testes no momento: - Exibição de uma impressão digital (opcional) - exibirá uma "impressão digital" das últimas 20 barras em todo o bloco renko tamanhos Ao usar valores do oscilador, uma marca para indicar se o valor subiu ou diminuiu desde a barra anterior. Se alguém tiver quaisquer outras sugestões de melhoria, por favor, informe - sempre aberto para comentários Realmente é um indicador de obra-prima. mas uma melhoria por favor ... basta adicionar um alerta de mensagem, exibir par quando primeira linha de uma cor de mudança de impressão digital. ou adicione o alerta quando o bloco de velas visuais muda de cor graças antecipadamenteUma forma de vela tem um significado diferente se estiver em uma posição diferente. Portanto, a fim de não ser enganado por uma forma de castiçal. Vamos discutir a seguinte análise de candlestick por posição. O candelabro doji Em um mercado silencioso com a formação de um gráfico relativamente plano. um doji está realmente mostrando que naquela época o mercado não era paixão. A energia é fraca e muitos comerciantes que não entraram no mercado. Para que a direção da próxima vela seja mais determinada por quantos comerciantes estão entrando no mercado. Nestas condições, não precisamos entrar no mercado. É melhor esperar até o surgimento de um sinal claro. Nas condições voláteis. uma vela doji formada após o corpo longo descrevendo que há o bloqueio do poder da vela. O doji foi formado principalmente pela correção. Portanto, a direção da próxima vela vai explodir e formar a vela com um corpo longo novamente com a mesma direção em direção ao corpo da vela antes do doji se formar O candelabro doji formado após o corpo curto (pião) mostra que quando o mercado fica mais fraco e sem dúvida atingiu o seu pico. E o começo da inversão de poder. Assim, a próxima direção do candelabro será oposta à da vela antes da formação do doji. Como o sistema funciona Como a maioria dos sistemas de negociação, o Forex Ultra Scalper utiliza um sistema, conhecido como 8220Signal Generator 8211 False Signals Filter8221. O Ultra Scalping começa a operar no instante em que você carrega os indicadores em um gráfico. O sistema analisa a atividade de preço anterior. Com base nessa atividade, o sistema cria alguns cenários possíveis de outras atividades. Minuto por minuto, novos cálculos estão sendo feitos. As atividades que se ajustam às previsões, calculadas pelo sistema, permitem que as próximas computações sejam ainda mais precisas. O gerador de sinais, baseado na análise de preços, encontra um momento ideal para abrir um pedido. Depois, um sinal é passado para um bloco de filtro para processamento adicional. O 8220Real Deal8221 com o Forex Ultra Scalper O produto tem um dos algoritmos modernos atualizados, projetados em torno de nossa 8220Ultra Smart Prediction Technology8221. O 8216staple8217 principal é o Bloco de Filtro (que bloqueia sinais falsos), que nós, em todos os honestidade, considere nosso orgulho e alegria. Este bloco analisa todos os possíveis dados de entrada: Dinâmica da atividade de cotações Hora do dia e atividade de mercado durante diferentes sessões Volume Spread dinâmica de expansão Atividade de cotação no mesmo tempo, mas no dia anterior A presença de divergência e Convergência - tanto nas cotações quanto nos osciladores Todos esses cálculos são feitos no fly8221, em uma fração de segundo, enviando os sinais resultantes para um trader. Pacote Contém os seguintes indicadores: ultrasignal. ex4 ultrafilter. ex4 Guia do Usuário (Arquivo PDF) Abra qualquer gráfico no MT4. Por favor use somente o M1 Timeframe. Para mais detalhes, leia no Guia de usuários de arquivos PDF. Lamentamos muito que não possamos fornecer o link de download para o System. This Post é apenas para revisão Se você ainda quiser possuir o sistema, por favor, tente desta forma. Ou pesquise muitos outros sistemas que foram fornecidos gratuitamente no indicator4forex Se a necessidade de obter um lucro que é uma previsão correta, então devemos tentar prever a próxima direção do mercado. E prever que a próxima direção do mercado pode ser feita de três maneiras. Qual deve ser sabido para ler o candlestickThat é uma parte do candlestick próprio. Nós todos sabemos que o candelabro formado pelo preço de abertura (aberto), o preço mais alto (alto), menor preço (baixo) e o preço de fechamento (próximo) para o período ou período de tempo. A diferença na posição do Open, High, Low e Close faz com que os formulários do candle sejam diferentes de tempos em tempos. E de uma forma de castiçal, consiste em várias partes. 1. cauda superior cauda acima mostra uma pressão de vendedor. Quanto maior a pressão e o comprador não puder acompanhar, o comprador perderá e terminará o período de queda dos preços para formar uma cauda longa. 2. Corpo A quantidade de corpo mostra uma posição dominante entre comprador e vendedor. Se nesse momento os compradores estiverem dominando o mercado, a vela do corpo será brilhantemente colorida (branco / verde). Da mesma forma, quando isso está dominando o vendedor de velas corpo escuro (vermelho / preto). 3. cauda inferior Abaixo mostra o impulso de cauda pelo comprador. Incentivo irá elevar os preços mais elevados. Se anteriormente o preço para baixo, em seguida, com o incentivo irá formar uma cauda para baixo. Das três coisas acima são PRESSÃO PARA VENDA - DOMINAÇÃO - COMEÇAR ENCORAJAMENTO, podemos ler o que aconteceu no castiçal. Podemos ler o seguinte quadro: No primeiro, o mercado é dominado por (COMPRADOR / VENDEDOR), mas depois (COMPRADOR / VENDEDOR) oferece resistência ao fazer (PRESSÃO VENDA / COMPRA EMPURRAR). Se o final do período retornar: 1. O comprador ainda domina. Então a próxima vela provavelmente irá subir. 2. A pressão de venda é maior do que o domínio dos compradores, então a próxima vela provavelmente cairá. 3. O vendedor continuou a dominar. Então a próxima vela ainda pode cair. 4. O desejo de comprar mais do que o vendedor dominância, a próxima vela é susceptível de subir. Em seguida, você sente a energia. Se a vela se move rapidamente, significa que o poder da vela é forte e se a vela se move lentamente, o poder da vela é fraco. Além disso, deve-se notar que a posição do candelabro em si está localizada em uma zona de sobrecompra, sobrevenda ou condições normais. Quando o gráfico está na área de sobrevenda e um candelabro tem o desejo de comprar tão grande, então a próxima possibilidade seria formada candelabro de alta. Vice-versa Um método de análise técnica é ler um gráfico de velas. De acordo com a análise técnica dos dados fornecidos castiçal que se formou, podemos prever o que a próxima vela será formada. Vela é vela para cima ou para baixo. Então, se temos uma imagem do que a vela é formada, podemos decidir se compramos ou vendemos. Então, Heres como ler o gráfico de velas: Em Psikology, vela formada devido à pressão de venda e impulso de compra. A diferença na quantidade de pressão e incentivo é o que mais tarde levou as formas de velas diferem umas das outras. Cronologia castiçal formação: - Quando há muitos compradores estão fazendo comprar, aumentando assim o preço de mercado no final do mercado fechado acima do preço de abertura, eventualmente formou a vela para cima (verde). A quantidade de compras por impulso pode ser medida a partir dos movimentos do mercado de baixo para fechado. Quanto maior a motivação, maior a vela corporal é formada. Assim, a quantidade de corpo de vela verde mostra os compradores dominantes. - Quando muitos comerciantes estão fazendo SELL, o preço de mercado cai, então, no final, geralmente fecha o valor de mercado abaixo do preço de abertura. Esta condição faz com que a vela se formou vermelha (abaixo). Na vela para baixo (vermelho) A pressão alta é medida do vendedor para Fechar. Quanto maior a pressão de venda, então o preço cairá ainda mais e estabelecerá um longo corpo de velas vermelhas. Assim, o tamanho do corpo da vela vermelha mostra o vendedor de dominância de magnitude. Para determinar a direção da próxima vela, há algumas que precisam ser notadas. Estas são: 1. Resistência 2. Aceleração do movimento 3. Diminuição da taxa de 4. Sob a direção Experimento 5. Convergente 1. OPOSIÇÃO O ponto é quando uma das partes domina o mercado irá se mover na direção da vela. Por exemplo, quando os compradores dominam o mercado na direção da vela continuará a subir. Contanto que não haja resistência do vendedor (sem meios de venda), a vela é formada seguindo a direção da vela anterior. Até que um dia, quando alguns traders acham que o preço está muito alto ou muito saturado, parece que a ação de vendas é como nas formas de resistência do vendedor. Um dos motivos é o lucro. Forma de resistência mostrada pela vela da cauda. Quando a resistência é maior que a dominância, então a próxima parte a lutar para vencer e será uma mudança de domínio de mercado, de modo que a tendência irá reverter a direção. A partir disso, podemos prever que a próxima vela reverterá a direção também. 2. ACELERAÇÃO DO CANDELABRO Corpo uma vela maior do que a vela anterior mostrou um entusiasmo. Assim, quando muitos comerciantes estavam ansiosos para abrir uma posição, ela produziria um poder para mover o mercado de modo que a direção desse tipo. Além disso, não há resistência, então podemos prever a vela que será formada de acordo com a vela aumentada. 3. DESACELERAÇÃO DO CANDELABRO O oposto do entusiasmo, os operadores ceticistas para abrir posições levaram ao mercado desacelerou. Esta dúvida surge porque os comerciantes avaliam que o mercado estava muito alto demais, o mercado está saturado ou zonas de suporte e resistência. Na ausência de operadores que abrem uma posição, não há poder para movimentar o mercado. Nesta condição, devemos estar preparados para abrir uma posição por trás da direção, porque o mercado será assumido por qualquer das partes. 4. DIREÇÃO REVERSA DO TESTE DO CANDELES Em uma posição de mercado saturada haverá aqueles que tentarem acabar com essa tendência, que querem reverter a direção de uma tendência. Mas às vezes o esforço começa com condições de teste sebuuah, o teste se o mercado pode realmente ser invertido ponto ou não. É caracterizada por uma vela longa cauda em frente a direção da tendência está indo. Cronologia é antes do período terminar como vela será formada na direção oposta da vela anterior. No final do período, a vela recuou e fechou na direção da vela anterior. A existência deste experimento indica que a direção reversa será reversa. Então, nessa condição, podemos nos preparar para abrir posições contra a tendência. 5. CASTIÇAL CONVERGENTE Vela de corpo lento e uma resistência (número 2) mostraram que a maioria dos comerciantes espera que o mercado inverta a direção. No entanto, quando de repente apareceu uma vela que mostra que o entusiasmo permanece em linha com a tendência que está acontecendo (número 3), é questionável. Pode ser comparado a quando todos querem uma coisa, mas há pessoas que querem coisas diferentes, então quando vistas da energia, a energia é na verdade uma pequena e praticamente vazia, então é muito fácil de bater. Esta condição de convergência de vela também pode ocorrer porque há certas partes que querem obter o melhor preço, mesmo sabendo que o mercado irá inverter a direção, mas ainda interessante ser maior ou menor à frente para obter um preço melhor, então o mercado inverteu ponto . Nestas condições, vemos outros indicadores, se outros indicadores também afirma convergir, então podemos abrir em frente a tendência indo. Poderia conseguir um lucro é o sonho de todos os comerciantes. Portanto, todos os comerciantes competindo para encontrar a melhor maneira de prever a próxima direção do mercado. Alguns estão tentando prever o próximo gráfico apenas parcialmente prever a próxima vela. Mas, na verdade, o gráfico previsto para prever uma vela que é um trabalho do mesmo. Por causa dessa vela, se descrita em um período de tempo menor, ela forma um gráfico. Assim como um gráfico, se combinado, formaria uma única vela em um período de tempo maior. Portanto, para ler uma vela, também lemos o compilador do Candle Chart em um período de tempo menor. Assim, irá formar uma regra: Portanto, para ler uma vela, também lemos o gráfico penysun candle em um período de tempo menor. Assim, irá formar uma regra: Se os redatores dos padrões de gráfico de vela antes de um padrão de continuação de alta, a próxima vela formará uma vela de alta Se o padrão dos gráficos de vela anteriores de um padrão de continuação de baixa, então a próxima vela se formará uma vela de baixa Se o padrão da vela anterior traçar um padrão de inversão de alta, então a próxima vela formará uma vela de baixa Se os redatores dos padrões de gráfico de vela antes de um padrão de reversão de baixa, então o próximo será formado Além do acima, leia uma vela também pode ser feito olhando para a cronologia do nível de proficiência de vela. Por exemplo: 1. Vela longa cauda Exemplo de vela com cauda longa é uma estrela cadente. Normalmente, esta vela aparece no final da tendência de descida e ocorre em condições de sobrevenda. Cronologia: Mercado inicialmente abaixou o poder da tendência de baixa está acontecendo, formando assim uma vela com um corpo longo. Mas, como se vê, o mercado tocou / área de passagem de 82038203support ou ter entrado na arena oversold, em seguida, o gráfico está virando de cabeça para baixo. No final do período coberto com o preço aberto. Formando uma longa cauda inferior. Então, a cauda longa é o começo do movimento para cima ou também uma tentativa de reverter a direção. Se o gráfico na direção reversa do experimento ainda não tiver estabelecido uma correção de padrão, a próxima vela terá uma cauda inferior. No entanto, se o padrão de correção for formado, a próxima vela moldará diretamente o corpo sem ter que formar uma cauda primeiro. 2. Comprimento da cauda longa do corpo de vela. Exemplos desse tipo de vela são foguetes verdes. Foguete chamado por causa de sua forma como um foguete e ela muito forte para cima como um foguete. Aqui podemos ver que o mercado inicialmente diminuiu e depois inverteu ponto para cima, reversão Porque o poder é tão grande que no final do período é muito maior vela fechada acima do aberto, e formar um corpo longo. Aqui podemos ver um grande entusiasmo para elevar o mercado. Então a próxima vela certamente irá rodar. 3. Comprimento do corpo da vela. Por exemplo, marubozu otimista. Um corpo longo com cauda curta mostra uma dominância do início ao fim sem qualquer resistência significativa. Em condições normais, depois vela marubozu será formada vela de alta com um corpo mais curto, como uma forma de compra de pressão de encaminhamento, mas também enfraquecer ao longo do tempo. No entanto, se no topo deste marubozu nenhuma resistência, então a próxima vela a ser para baixo (bearis) como uma forma de correção ou preparação para subir mais alto. COMO LER UMA VELA Uma vela é suficiente para obter lucro. Essa é a filosofia de um trader de longo prazo. Eles só esperam o lucro de uma única vela sozinha, mas com muitos pontos ganhos. Os prazos são geralmente usados pelo menos 1 dia. Mas, para nós, os operadores intradiários podem fazer como eles, podemos ganhar muitos pontos ao fotografar velas de 4 horas. Há 3 técnicas ou como ler uma vela próxima é: 1. Técnicas de leitura de poder de vela Eu posso ler a direção da próxima vela para poder de vela sentida antes. Porque a suposição é que, se o poder da vela anterior e da próxima vela for a mesma direção, uma forma de poder restante será gasta. O poder de uma vela é medido pelo volume. Isso significa que se uma vela tem um grande volume do comprimento normal do corpo da vela é também uma forma de utilização de energia. Talvez pudéssemos imaginar um veículo que tenha muito combustível, esses veículos poderão percorrer longas distâncias. Completamente diferente se apenas um pouco de combustível, pode ser apenas a uma curta distância. Portanto, podemos concluir: Se a vela anterior tem grande poder, mas ele foi curto, então isso significa que o poder não foi usado ou bloqueio de energia. Assim, o próximo corpo de vela vai explodir de forma longa. Se a vela anterior tem grande poder e grande corpo, então isso significa que a energia foi usada. Assim, a próxima vela permanece alinhada com o poder da vela anterior, mas a vela longa será então mais curta. 2. Técnicas de posição de leitura de cartas em um mercado volátil Além do tamanho do volume, a direção da próxima vela também pode ser vista a partir da posição da própria vela. Vela no mercado de energia volátil é maior do que a vela está em um mercado quieto. Portanto, o mercado é volátil, os corpos das velas são geralmente mais longos. As regras de utilização que compõem o corpo por mais tempo se aplicam à posição de velas em um mercado volátil. Você pode imaginar o que pode estar no meio da vela condição curta volátil é uma forma de tendência de enfraquecimento O que pode em Marchre apaixonado fácil de navegar invertida A resposta não é possível. Portanto, se você ver uma vela curta (spining top ou doji) depois de uma longa vela em alta volatilidade e que as chances de uma vela longa. 3. Candle técnicas de leitura no final da tendência Fim de uma tendência é uma área muito potencial de 82038203 direção inversa. Portanto, geralmente é uma tendência de ponta ocorrida na área saturada. Sinais de que o mercado irá reverter a direção é o surgimento de resistência e voltando-se para julgamento sob a forma de vela da cauda. Então, se você vê uma vela com uma cauda longa igual ou maior que o comprimento do corpo e ocorre na área saturada, então isso mostra que há uma vela que havia resistido. Portanto, a direção da próxima vela será oposta à direção da tendência está indo. Essas são algumas técnicas para ler a próxima vela. Pode ser útil. FX Multi-Meter II Um indicador all-in-one inspirado no x-meter. Ele fornece rapidamente uma grande quantidade de informações que normalmente exigiriam muitos gráficos e indicadores e a confusão geral da tela. Ele foi projetado para dar mais precisão às entradas e saídas comerciais e fornecer um instantâneo instantâneo de um movimento de pares de moedas. O multímetro funciona em qualquer moeda ou período de tempo e exibe o seguinte. Indicadores padrão Um gráfico dos osciladores estocásticos nos prazos M1 até D1. Uma indicação da tendência do mercado usando médias móveis nos prazos M1 a D1. A direção do MACD no gráfico atual e o cruzamento da linha de sinal e linha zero. A direção de um período rápido de 3 LWMA cruzando um SMA de 5 períodos (períodos personalizáveis). A direção da SAR parabólica no gráfico atual para fornecer o sinal de saída e também a confirmação de entrada. Um gráfico oscilante do indicador Williams Range. Isso foi usado por causa de seu movimento rápido e qualidade preditiva exclusiva. Também porque é muito bom para identificar condições de Overbought / Oversold. Um medidor de aumento / redução de barra desenvolvido para fornecer uma representação visual direta do aumento ou queda percentual do preço atual em comparação com os últimos 4 compassos. É simples, mas eficaz. A essência é que os movimentos anteriores de 4 bar (perto de fechar) são calculados e percentuais, então se a barra atual subir acima de 100, ela está acelerando acima da média recente, ao contrário, se cair abaixo de 100 está desacelerando e levando em um movimento mais estável. Movimentos de preços fortes são exibidos em vermelho ou verde brilhante, com tons variados de acordo com a força do movimento. O sinal geral recomendado para negociar, com base nos vários sinais indicadores. E por último, mas não menos importante, a disseminação da moeda, em grandes números fáceis de ver. Novo na versão 2 Um visualizador de histórico na forma de uma linha vertical que pode ser arrastada pelas barras anteriores para exibir o histórico em multímetro. (Versão beta) Um gráfico de tendências de vários períodos mostrando a direção de 7 médias móveis personalizáveis em 7 períodos de tempo. Um Mapa de Sinais OB / OS, mostrando os sinais de Sobrecompra ou Sobrevivência de 7 diferentes osciladores / indicadores em 7 timeframes. Sinal global personalizável, usando uma combinação de sinais indicadores atuais e de vários períodos de tempo. Exibição de preço / gráfico / moeda que pode ser ativada ou desativada. Alterne entre o modo padrão e o modo compacto. As opções podem agora ser acessadas sem recarregar em um gráfico. Como o sistema funciona Existem diferentes tipos de produtos no mercado. Mas há algumas coisas que são exclusivas sobre o nosso Ultra Forex Scalper. É o sistema manual baseado em uma combinação ideal. O Ultra Scalper começa a operar no segundo exato em que você o carregou em um gráfico. Analisa a atividade de preço anterior e 8220 cria 8221 cenários possíveis de desenvolvimento adicional. Minuto por minuto, novos cálculos estão sendo feitos. Quanto mais você negociar com ele, mais precisos são esses cálculos. Por favor, note também que quaisquer sinais que são determinados pelo Ultra Scalper não são apenas passados para você, eles são cuidadosamente filtrados para tornar a negociação mais confiável. O 8220Real Deal8221 com o Forex Ultra Scalper É o sistema manual moderno para escalpelamento que se baseia na nossa 8220Ultra Smart Prediction Technology8221. O 8216staple8217 principal é o bloco de filtro (que bloqueia os sinais falsos), que nós, com toda a honestidade, consideramos nosso orgulho e alegria. Este bloco consiste em 2 etapas. A primeira é o ultrafiltro que filtra muitos fatores do mercado atual e o segundo é o ultraflatter. Ele verifica a atividade do preço e determina o movimento lateral. Mais detalhadamente, o que está sendo analisado: - Dinâmica da atividade de cotações - Hora do dia e atividade do mercado durante as diferentes sessões - Volume - Dinâmica de expansão - Atividade de cotação ao mesmo tempo, mas no dia anterior - A presença de divergência e convergência - tanto nas cotações quanto nos osciladores Todos esses cálculos são feitos no fly8221, em uma fração de segundo, enviando os sinais resultantes para um trader. Sim, você precisa observar os dados na tela, mas acredite em mim. Ultra Scalper faz muito mais Pacote Contém os seguintes indicadores: Ultrasignal20.ex4 Ultrafilter. ex420 Ultra flatter20.ex4 Guia do Usuário (arquivo PDF). Por favor use somente o M1 Timeframe. Para mais detalhes, leia no PDF File Users Guide. Lamentamos, não podemos fornecer link para baixar este sistema gratuitamente. É o REVISÃO sobre o Indicador de Sistema Forex Ultra Scalper V2.0. Se você ainda quiser possuir o Sistema, apenas tente desta forma. Aqui está o passo a passo para instalar o indicador no MT4: Passo 1: Copie o arquivo do indicador EX4 em sua pasta / experts / indicators /. Esta pasta está na pasta da plataforma de negociação MetaTrader. Exemplos: Se você estiver usando o corretor Interbank FX Trader, a pasta estará em C: Program FilesInterbank FX Trader 4expertsindicators Se você estiver usando o corretor Alpari MetaTrader, a pasta estará em C: Program FilesMetaTrader - Alpariexpertsindicators Se você estiver usando o FXDD corretor, a pasta estará em C: Program FilesFXDD 161V MetaTrader 4expertsindicators Se você não encontrar sua pasta / experts / indicators /, entre em contato com nosso suporte técnico. Passo 2: Abra a plataforma MetaTraderR e clique em View - gt Navigator. Você também pode clicar em CTRLN. Etapa 3: uma janela intitulada Navigator deve aparecer. Clique em indicadores personalizados. Etapa 4: Você deve ver o indicador Free Scalping Indicator na pasta Custom Indicators. Clique duas vezes nos dois indicadores e clique em OK para carregá-los no gráfico. Aqui está um vídeo mostrando como você instala indicadores na plataforma MetaTrader 174: O volume é o principal indicador para o trader profissional. Você tem que se perguntar por que os membros das Bolsas auto-reguladas ao redor do mundo gostam de manter a verdadeira informação de volume longe de você o máximo possível. A razão é porque eles sabem como é importante analisar um mercado. A importância e a importância do volume parecem pouco compreendidas pela maioria dos traders não-profissionais. Talvez isso aconteça porque há muito pouca informação e um ensino limitado disponível sobre essa parte vital da análise técnica. Usar um gráfico sem dados de volume é semelhante a comprar um automóvel sem um tanque de gasolina. Quando o volume é tratado em outras formas de análise técnica, ele é frequentemente visto de forma isolada, ou medido de alguma forma em um período de tempo estendido. Analisar o volume, ou preço, é algo que não pode ser dividido em fórmulas matemáticas simples. Esta é uma das razões pelas quais existem tantos indicadores técnicos que algumas fórmulas funcionam melhor para mercados cíclicos, algumas fórmulas são melhores para situações voláteis, enquanto outras são melhores quando os preços estão em tendência. Alguns indicadores técnicos tentam combinar os movimentos de volume e preço juntos. Essa é uma maneira melhor, mas tenha certeza de que essa abordagem também tem suas limitações, porque às vezes o mercado vai subir em volume alto, mas pode fazer exatamente a mesma coisa em volume baixo. Os preços podem subitamente ir para os lados, ou mesmo cair, exatamente no mesmo volume. Portanto, há obviamente outros fatores em ação. O preço e o volume estão intimamente ligados e a inter-relação é complexa, razão pela qual o TradeGuider foi desenvolvido em primeiro lugar. O sistema é capaz de analisar os mercados em tempo real (ou no final do dia) e exibir qualquer um dos 400 indicadores na tela para mostrar desequilíbrios de oferta e demanda. Mitos urbanos que você deve ignorar Há cotações frequentes sobre oferta e demanda vistas em revistas e jornais, muitas das quais são involuntariamente enganosas. Dois comuns correm ao longo destas linhas. 8226 Para todo comprador tem que haver um vendedor 8226 Tudo o que é necessário para fazer um mercado são dois negociantes dispostos a negociar pelo preço correto. Essas declarações soam tão lógicas e diretas que você pode lê-las e aceitá-las imediatamente pelo valor de face, sem Sempre pensando nas implicações lógicas Você fica com a impressão de que o mercado é um assunto muito direto, como um genuíno leilão aberto na Sothebys, talvez. No entanto, estas são, de fato, declarações muito enganosas. Sim, você pode estar comprando hoje e alguém pode estar disposto a vender para você. No entanto, você pode estar comprando apenas uma pequena parte de grandes blocos de ordens de venda que podem estar nos livros dos criadores de mercado, sentados ali, bem antes de você chegar ao local. Essas ordens de venda são ações esperando para serem distribuídas em determinados níveis de preços e não inferiores. O mercado será apoiado até que essas ordens de venda sejam exercidas, o que uma vez vendido enfraquecerá o mercado, ou até mesmo o transformará em um mercado em baixa. Assim, em pontos importantes do mercado, a verdade pode ser que, para cada ação que você compra, pode haver dez mil ações para vender no nível de preço atual ou próximo dele, esperando para ser distribuído. O mercado não funciona como uma balança balanceada, em que a adição de um pouco a uma escala inclina o outro lado para cima e retira um pouco para que o outro lado caia. Não é tão simples e direto. Você freqüentemente ouve falar de grandes blocos de ações sendo negociados entre profissionais, contornando o que parece ser as rotas usuais. Meu corretor, que supostamente sabe, uma vez me disse para ignorar o volume muito alto visto no mercado naquele dia, porque a maior parte do volume era apenas negociadora de mercado entre eles. Esses profissionais negociam para ganhar dinheiro e, embora possa haver muitas razões para essas transações, o que quer que esteja acontecendo, você pode ter certeza de uma coisa: ela não foi projetada para o seu benefício. Você certamente nunca deve ignorar qualquer volume anormal no mercado. Na verdade, você também deve observar de perto os aumentos de volume em outros mercados relacionados àquele que você está negociando. Por exemplo, pode haver um volume alto repentino no mercado de opções ou no mercado futuro. Volume é atividade Você tem que se perguntar, porque é que o 8216smart money8217 ativo agora Autor: Tom Williams, Domine os Mercados Tomando uma Abordagem Profissional para Negociar Investir amp usando Análise de Spread de Volume Publicado por TradeGuider Systems Todo mercado de ações é composto de empresa individual compartilhamentos listados em uma troca. Esses mercados são compostos de centenas ou milhares desses instrumentos, negociados diariamente em grande escala, e em todos os mercados, exceto os mais finamente negociados, milhões de ações mudam de mãos todos os dias. Muitos milhares de negócios individuais serão feitos entre compradores e vendedores. Toda essa atividade tem que ser monitorada de alguma forma. Algum caminho também tem que ser encontrado para tentar avaliar o desempenho geral de um mercado. Isso levou à introdução de índices de mercado, como o Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) e o Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Share Index (FTSE100). Em alguns casos, o Índice representa o desempenho de todo o mercado, mas na maioria dos casos, o Índice é constituído pelos grandes apostadores no mercado, nos quais a atividade de negociação geralmente é maior. No caso do FTSE100, você está olhando para cem das ações mais fortes das empresas líderes, ponderadas pelo tamanho da empresa, e, em seguida, calcula a média periodicamente para criar um Índice. Essas ações representam uma participação acionária nas empresas em questão e valem algo por si mesmas. Eles, portanto, têm um valor intrínseco como parte da propriedade de uma empresa que está negociando. O primeiro segredo para se aprender a negociar com sucesso (em oposição a investir) é esquecer o valor intrínseco de uma ação ou de qualquer outro instrumento. O que você precisa se preocupar é seu valor percebido - seu valor para os comerciantes profissionais, não o valor que representa como um interesse em uma empresa. O valor intrínseco é apenas um componente do valor percebido. Esta é uma contradição que, sem dúvida, mistifica os diretores de empresas fortes com um estoque fraco. A partir de agora, lembre-se que é o valor percebido que é refletido no preço de uma ação e não, como você poderia esperar, seu valor intrínseco. Voltaremos a isso mais tarde, quando analisarmos o assunto da seleção de ações. Alguma vez você já se perguntou por que o índice FTSE100 (ou qualquer outro índice) mostrou um aumento mais ou menos contínuo desde que foi instigado Há muitos fatores que contribuem: inflação, expansão constante das grandes empresas e investimento de longo prazo por grandes players mas a causa mais importante é a 8211 mais simples e mais negligenciada que os criadores do Index querem mostrar o desempenho mais forte possível e o maior crescimento. Para este fim, de vez em quando eles vão eliminar os artistas pobres e substituí-los com promissores artistas fortes. Autor: Tom Williams, Domine os Mercados Adotando uma Abordagem Profissional para Negociar Investimentos de Ampère Usando Análise de Spread de Volume Publicado por Sistemas TradeGuider A cada dia útil, bilhões de dólares trocam de mãos nos mercados de ações do mundo, futuros financeiros e câmbio. Negociar esses mercados é de longe o maior negócio do planeta. E, no entanto, se você perguntar ao homem de negócios ou à mulher comum por que temos mercados em alta ou por que temos mercados em baixa, você receberá muitas opiniões. A pessoa comum não tem absolutamente nenhuma ideia do que impulsiona os mercados financeiros. Ainda mais surpreendente é o fato de que o comerciante médio não entende o que impulsiona os mercados. Muitos traders estão muito felizes em seguir cegamente os sistemas mecânicos, baseados em fórmulas matemáticas que foram testadas em mais de 25 anos de dados para prever a capacidade preditiva do sistema. No entanto, a maioria desses traders não tem absolutamente nenhuma idéia quanto à causa subjacente da mudança. Estas são pessoas inteligentes. Muitos deles terão negociado os mercados financeiros, de uma forma ou de outra, por muitos anos. Um grande número desses comerciantes terá investido quantias substanciais de capital no mercado de ações. Assim, apesar de a negociação financeira ser o maior negócio do mundo, é também o negócio menos compreendido do mundo. Movimentos súbitos são um mistério, chegando quando menos se espera e aparentando ter pouca lógica ligada a eles. Freqüentemente, o mercado faz exatamente o oposto do julgamento intuitivo de um trader. Mesmo aqueles que ganham a vida negociando, particularmente os corretores e os especialistas, que você esperaria ter um conhecimento detalhado das causas e efeitos em seu campo escolhido, muitas vezes sabem pouco sobre como os mercados realmente funcionam. Diz-se que até 90 dos comerciantes estão no lado perdedor do mercado de ações. Assim, talvez muitos desses comerciantes já tenham o sistema perfeito para se tornarem bem-sucedidos. Tudo o que eles precisam fazer é negociar na direção oposta àquilo que seu sentimento lhes diz. Mais sensatamente, este livro poderá ajudá-lo a negociar intuitivamente, mas em uma maneira que um profissional faz. Abaixo está uma breve série de perguntas 8211 como um experimento, veja se você pode responder a qualquer uma delas: 8226 Por que temos bull markets 8226 Por que temos bear markets 8226 Por que os mercados às vezes tendem fortemente 8226 Por que os mercados às vezes correm de lado 8226 Como posso me beneficiar de todos esses movimentos? Se você puder responder a essas perguntas com confiança, não precisará ler este livro. Se, por outro lado, você não puder, não se preocupe porque não está sozinho e terá as respostas quando chegar ao final do livro. É interessante notar que o exército faz um grande esforço para treinar seus soldados. Este treinamento não é apenas projetado para manter os homens em forma e manter a disciplina, mas é projetado em torno de exercícios e procedimentos aprendidos por rotina. As brocas são praticadas repetidamente até que a resposta correta se torne automática. Em tempos de estresse extremo que é encontrado na neblina da batalha (negociando no seu caso), o soldado está equipado para executar rapidamente um plano de ação evasiva, suprimindo o medo e a excitação, assegurando uma resposta correta para minimizar ou erradicar qualquer ameaça que o soldado A opção por essa resposta automática e sem emoção ao perigo também deve ser sua missão. Os bons traders desenvolvem um sistema de negociação disciplinado para si próprios. Pode ser muito sofisticado ou muito simples, desde que você pense que lhe dará a vantagem que certamente precisará. Um sistema que é estritamente seguido evita a necessidade de emoção, porque como o soldado treinado, você já fez todo o pensamento antes que os problemas chegassem. Isso deve forçá-lo a agir corretamente durante a negociação. Claro, isso é fácil de dizer, mas muito difícil de colocar em prática. Lembre-se, a negociação é como qualquer outra profissão, na medida em que a acumulação de conhecimento está em causa, mas é aí que a semelhança pára. Negociar é um rito de passagem. A estrada será longa, o terreno será duro, você sofrerá dor. Negociar não é glamouroso Nesta conjuntura, você não precisa se preocupar com nenhuma dessas coisas. Este livro irá atuar como seu 8216brief8217, 8216relatório de inteligência8217 e8216operações do manual8217. Leia todo o livro 8211 que irá atendê-lo bem. Você pode não concordar com todo o conteúdo, mas isso não é importante se você tiver absorvido os princípios, o propósito deste livro terá sido cumprido. À medida que você ganha mais experiência, verá que os mercados de fato se movem para os ditames da oferta e da demanda (e pouco mais). Desequilíbrios de oferta e demanda podem ser detectados e lidos em seus gráficos, dando-lhe uma vantagem significativa sobre seus pares. Se você possui o software TradeGuider, verá que ele faz um excelente trabalho ao detectar esses desequilíbrios-chave para você, fazendo o trabalho pesado de ler os mercados e permitindo que você se concentre totalmente em sua negociação. A resenha: Domine os Mercados por Tom Williams Publicado por TradeGuider Systems Este indicador all-in-one foi inspirado no x-meter e usou parte de seu código como modelo para os objetos gráficos (então, graças a Robert Hill, que o desenvolveu). No entanto, é completamente diferente e fornece muito mais informações que normalmente exigiriam muitos gráficos e indicadores e a desordem geral da tela. Ele foi projetado para dar mais precisão às entradas e saídas comerciais, fornecendo um instantâneo instantâneo de um movimento de pares de moedas. O multímetro funciona em qualquer moeda ou período de tempo (ou deveria) e exibe o seguinte no canto inferior direito do gráfico. Um gráfico dos osciladores estocásticos nos prazos M1 até D1. Uma indicação da tendência do mercado usando EMAs nos prazos M1 a D1. A direção do MACD no gráfico atual e o cruzamento da linha de sinal e linha zero. A direção de um LWMA rápido de 3 períodos cruzando um SMA de 5 períodos (os períodos podem ser alterados). A direção da SAR parabólica no gráfico atual para fornecer o sinal de saída e também a confirmação de entrada. Um gráfico oscilante do indicador Williams Range. Isso foi usado por causa de seu movimento rápido e qualidade preditiva exclusiva. Também porque é muito bom para identificar condições de Overbought / Oversold. Um medidor de aumento / redução de barra que desenvolvi para fornecer uma representação visual direta da porcentagem de aumento ou queda do preço atual em comparação com os últimos 4 compassos. É simples, mas eficaz. A essência disso é que os movimentos anteriores de 4 bar (close close) têm média e porcentagem, então se a barra atual subir acima de 100 ela está acelerando acima da média recente, ao contrário se cair abaixo de 100 ela está desacelerando e assumindo um movimento mais estável. Movimentos de preços fortes exibidos em vermelho vivo ou verde, com variações de tons de acordo com a força do movimento. O sinal geral recomendado para negociar, com base nos vários sinais indicadores. E por último, mas não menos importante, a disseminação da moeda, em grandes números fáceis de ver. Exemplo de interpretação - EUR / USD - Gráfico M1 - O Bar Meter está mostrando que o movimento do preço está se acelerando para cima (237 acima da média anterior de 4 barras). - MACD está cruzando para cima acima de sua linha de sinal. - MA-X está mostrando que o MA de 3 períodos lineares com movimento rápido subiu acima do MA simples de 5 períodos mais lento. - P-SAR ainda está viajando para baixo e ainda não se mexeu. - WPR está chegando ao seu nível máximo para cima, indicando tanto um movimento ascendente forte quanto uma condição de sobrecompra. Neste caso, o movimento está começando, não chegando ao pico. - Todos os MAs, exceto o período de tempo D1, estão tendendo para cima. - Oscilador estocástico no gráfico M30 está chegando, indicando uma possível condição de sobrecompra naquele período de tempo. O M1 Stochastic tem 58 e está subindo. - O spread atual é de 1,6 pips. . Mais detalhes no arquivo PDF. O 8220 Ultra Fast Profit 8221 é uma ferramenta de negociação completa projetada principalmente para negociar com sucesso e consistentemente os mercados FOREX. O principal princípio do indicador é a previsão de tendência de ação de preço alguns indicadores mt4. Tudo em um A taxa de acerto do indicador é de cerca de 85-90 na maioria das moedas em um mercado forte. O indicador foi criado (devido a muitos pedidos) para gerar lucro mais rápido possível, portanto, é otimizado para o período M5. (Funciona bem em outros períodos de tempo também). Nós aconselhamos a ler e certifique-se de entender todo o sistema antes de colocá-lo em prática. Experimente e ganhe experiência em contas de demonstração antes de negociar com seu próprio dinheiro. O Ultra Fast Profit169 gera negociações que mudam de cor. Para usar o Lucro Ultra Rápido 169 para gerar sinais: Negociações longas ocorrem quando o Lucro Ultra Rápido 169 muda de cor de branco para azul. (alteração de tendência) As negociações curtas ocorrem quando o Lucro Ultra Rápido 169 muda de cor de azul para branco. (mudança de tendência) Indicador Forex por Karl Dittmann 82168216Instant Compra Venda Signal82178216 é um sistema de negociação completo (5 ferramentas em 1) projetado principalmente para negociar os mercados FOREX com sucesso e consistência. The software generates extremely profitable buy sellsignals. The idea of this project was to create a software that will filter all false market turns and false entries and produce only profitable signals. In this case I believe it is much more important to have less mass signals but only profitable trades. Do not expect 30 signals a day..The software will display only double confirmed trading opportunities (even on a ranging market or side trends 8211 I hope) I advise to read and make sure you understand the entire system before putting it into practice. Experiment and gain experience in demo accounts first, before trading with your own money. Entering Trades The Instant Buy Sell Signal 169 generates trades when it prints arrows. To use the 82168216Instant Buy Sell Signal82178216 169 to generate signals: Long trades occur when the 82168216Instant Buy Sell Signal82178216 169 shows green arrows Short trades occur when the 82168216Instant Buy Sell Signal82178216 169 shows red arrows . This System is reviewed by Rita Lasker. How It works You can use any currency pairs, any timeframes, any brokers. Once installed the Indicator will show Aqua and Violet points fromtime to time. When you see Aqua point under the bar, open Buy order. When you see Violet point above the bar, open Sell order. All the signals work while the relevant bar is 8220open8221. You have to close the order when the bar closes. Good luck with your tradingThe 8220Super Trend Profit8221 is a complete trading tool designed primarily to trade TRENDS successfully and consistently. The indicator is based on a special system that predicts the price movement in advance The main principle of the indicator is special custom trend indicators complex price action filters - All in one The hit rate of the indicator is about 85 in most currencies, and higher in the currency pairs recommended in the next chapters. We advise that you read and make sure you understand the entire system before putting it into practice. Experimente e ganhe experiência em contas de demonstração antes de negociar com seu próprio dinheiro. . Entering Trades When the Super Trend Profit169 generates trades it changes colors. Enter a trade as soon as you get a popup alert . Long trades occur when the Super Trend Profit169 changes color from Red to Blue. (confirmed trend change) Short trades occur when the Super Trend Profit169 changes color from Blue to Red. (confirmed trend change) . IMPORTANT RECOMMENDATION - How to maximize your profit: You can enter and exit your trades using buy/sell signals when the indicator generate it for you 8211 the signals are accurate and profitable, but to maximize your profit I recommend always check a global trend and do not trade against it 8211 example: To determinate a GLOBAL current trend - just open a higher timeframe chart: Example: if you trade on M15 - open a M30 chart and determinate a current global trend. (Remember Trend is your friend) Next we are going to look at trend lines. We all use Trend lines and trend line breaks to decide reversals. We will look at trend lines with respect to VSA. The general belief in TA is that Trend lines offer support in up trends and also act as resistances in downtrends. We will not go into the details of why and how of this belief. Instead we will look at the how volume and spread can give us clues whether the trend line will hold or break. For example we will take an uptrend. When the stock retracts towards the trend line, small spreads and lower volume indicate as the stock approaches the trend line indicates that the stock is likely to be supported by trend line. Higher volumes and wide spread indicate a probability of a trend line break. Trend lines are resistance areas and effort is needed to break the trend lines. Wide spreads and high volumes are indications of this effort. Many times we will see the SM absorbing the supply near trend lines. This is a bullish indication as the smart money is bullish on the stock and is interested in higher prices. So when there is lot of supply near trend lines they absorb the supply to keep the prices above the trend line. Let us look at an example with a chart One of the difficulties we face when analyze prices is determining whether the stock is going through a reversal or just a retracement. If we assume that a retracement is in progress and it turns out to be a reversal we end up giving away too much. At the same time if we assume a reversal then we would be out of the trade too soon. These apply specially for positional traders. So how do we get a clue whether it is retracement or a reversal Following are the basic things one should look at. RETRACEMENT 1. Lack of volatility 2. Small spreads 3. Decreased Volume REVERSAL 1. Increased Volatility 2. Large spreads. Especially Effort to Fall bars. 3. Increasing volume. The simplest thing we can do is to draw arrows for the stock movement and the volume. In retracements you will the arrows are in the same direction. And in case of reversal the arrows will be in opposite directions. text from PDF File Users Guide. For more explanation of this System just download to the link below. Smart multi Account Manager developed for simultaneous management of multiple Metatrader 4 accounts on different MT4 brokers, which is mostly helpful for those who manage investors8217 accounts (asset management or managed account services) and for traders working with many accounts on different MT4 brokers simultaneously. Allow working with any amount of accounts and any Metatrader 4 Brokers, receiving quotes for any symbols, placing all types of orders. You can adjust different lots for each slave terminal (manually or automatically). Features: 8226 No extra software running. Only 2 EAs needed to be run. 8226 Very easy 2 STEPS to get it works. 8226 Simultaneous management of multiple Metatrader 4. 8226 Different MT4 brokers. 8226 Ability to copy signals of expert advisors. 8226 Using own Money Management. Usage: 1. Single MASTER account for many CLONES8217 accounts. 2. Many MASTERs8217 accounts for single CLONE account. 3. Many MASTERs8217 accounts for many CLONEs8217 accounts Already Included PDF File users Guide on File. Forex Enigma is a new forex trading indicator that is created by Karl Dittmann that works only on M1 and M5. It works for all currency pairs, but the best results can be expected on Usd/Jpy, Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Usd/Cad and Eur/Jpy. It is designed for MT4 platforms and it is Not an EA or Robot, but a powerful buy/sell signal arrows. scalping indicator software. Buy/Sell Arrow Scalper is based on a complex multi-indicator systems and special trading secrets that are programmed to work along and confirm each other for pulling safe and fast trigger right before the price explodes. All you need to start trading with Buy/Sell Arrow Scalper is to enter and exit trades according to the simple automatically generated arrow signals. No thinking or analyzing. It lets you take full advantage of expert market analysis thats working for you behind the code of this great indicator tool. If you were looking for something powerful and easy-to-use, whether youre a beginner or a highly experienced trader, then this is the right choice for you. This Indicator does not only tell you when to place your positions with pinpoint accuracy it also protects you from any unnecessary risks, guaranteeing that you will win more than you lose every single time. More here. Forex Enigma Overview Contents: Forex Software Creator: Karl Dittmann Official Website: fxenigma. net Price: 87.00 Forex Enigma offers lots of key features that the power users are usually interested in, wrapped up in a friendly and likable interface, at the same time benefiting from great online support amp tutorials, which makes Forex Enigma an easy to use program even for the inexperienced users. This is an amazing piece of software at a bargain price, you can not lose. If you have any information about the cons of this software, please share with us. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Trade Summaries Relative Strength Index Chapter 1 highlighted RSI as a mean reversion indicator because it is among the most popular and well-known of the oscillators. Like stochastics, the RSI is plotted on a 0 to 100 scale, with the 70 30 combination as the most widely used overbought oversold boundary parameters. As with stochastics, the most popular time periods are the 9-and 14-day versions. Traditionally, RSI generates entry signals whenever the index extends into overbought or oversold territory then falls below the upper boundary or rises above the lower boundary. Differential Oscillators We have already examined several differential oscillators, including the two-moving average, the DMI, and the MACD differential oscillator. As stated, differential oscillators are based on the difference between two data series. In contrast to percentage oscillators, which range from 0 to 100, differential oscillators have no numerical limit and so determination of overbought or oversold levels is. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Slow Stochastic It is worth your time to be patient and learn how to use the technical indicators on the charts that you will be reading about shortly. It is important when you are trading Forex. to be disciplined and to stick to a plan. Dont just trade your gut feeling. Use the technical indicators outlined and always enter in stop losses on every trade. Remember that everyone who trades has a different tolerance for losses. Depending on your risk capital, and strategy, set your stop losses accordingly. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Technical Analysis The study of momentum and oscillators is an analysis of price changes rather than price levels. Among technicians, momentum establishes the speed of price movement and the rate of ascent or descent. Analysts use momentum interchangeably with slope, a straight-line angle of inclination of price movement as measured from a horizontal line representing time. Momentum is also thought of as force or impact it is often considered, as in Newtons Law, that once started prices tend to remain in motion in a somewhat straight line. Rate-of-change indicators, such as momentum and oscillators, are usfcd as leading indicators of price change. They can identify when the current trend is no longer maintaining its same level of strength. This gives the trader an opportunity to begin liquidating the open-trend trades before prices actually reverse. As the time period for the momentum calculation shortens, this technique of leading a trend changes to become more aggressive and is interpreted as a. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Market Timing Over the years, technical analysts have developed hundreds of technical indicators and detected dozens of chart patterns that they contend help them forecast future price changes. While we cannot describe or even list all of them, we can categorize them based upon the nature of irrationality that we attribute to markets. Consolidating all of the irrationalities that have been attributed to financial markets, we have created five groupings Investors change their minds frequently and often irrationally, causing significant shifts in demand and supply, causing prices to move. If you believe that this is the way markets work, you would use technical indicators and charting patterns to detect these shifts. There are external forces that govern up and down movements in markets that override fundamentals and investor preferences. Technical indicators and charting patterns that allow up to see their larger cycles in stock prices can allow us to get ahead of other investors. Within each, we. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Trade Summaries In this comparison MACD is obviously the superior performing system. Not only does it enjoy a better P MD, but it does so while enjoying a higher percentage of winning trades, better profit-to-loss ratio, and fewer consecutive losses. So why would anyone choose to trade the Bollinger bands system The most obvious reason is that MACDs results were achievable only if one had the prerequisite 200,000 in equity under management needed to withstand its maximum drawdown. If one had only 100,000 under management, employment of MACD would entail the weathering of a 42.55 percent maximum drawdown (compared to a 28.32 drawdown for the Bollinger band system). Moreover, remember that MACDs superior performance was only achievable if one had the patience and fortitude to hold trades for an average of 143 days. If a trader showed me the results from Tables 3.10 (Bollinger bands) and 3.6 (MACD), then asked which I thought was the better trading strategy, I would pose four questions Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Trading Setups We have developed a strategy that answers all of the questions above while at the same time giving us clear entry and exit levels. Essa estratégia é chamada de combinação MACD de média móvel. We use two sets of moving averages for the setup the 50 simple moving average (SMA) and the 100 SMA. The actual time period of the SMA depends upon the chart that you use. This strategy works best on hourly and daily charts. The 50 SMA is the signal line that triggers our trades, while the 100 SMA ensures that we are working in a clear trend environment. The main premise of the strategy is that we buy or sell only when the price crosses the moving averages in the direction of the trend. Although this strategy may seem similar in logic to the momo strategy, it is far more patient and uses longer-term moving averages on hourly and daily charts to capture larger profits. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Pairs Trading The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator combines some of the principles of oscillators, like those already discussed, with a dual moving average crossover approach. It uses two metrics, both represented with lines. The faster of the two lines (called the MACD line) is the difference between exponentially smoothed moving averages of closing prices the 12- and 26-day moving averages are most commonly used. The slower of the two lines is the exponentially smooth average of the trailing nine MACD periods. These metrics can be adjusted, but they are the most common examples and are used by a majority of traders. There are two ways in which traders use MACD to generate buy and sell signals. The first involves a classic moving average crossover event. When the MACD line, the faster of the two, crosses the signal line, a signal is generated. If the MACD crosses and becomes higher than the signal line, this is a buy signal if the MACD line crosses and becomes lower than the. Last Updated on Thu, 10 Mar 2016 Opening Price Scalping is a day trading tactic used to capture small discrepancies in price, as little as 1 16. Scalping for small fractions has become an increasingly hazardous path toward successful day trading. Popularized through the SOES day trading tactics of the late 1980s and early 1990s, scalping for fractions was less complicated then than it is today. At first, all a SOES day trader had to do was pick off a market maker and offer the stock back out to the street at a better price. This tactic was easy and profitable when competition for the prime executions was minimal because of the smaller number of SOES traders. Market makers also displayed larger sizes on the inside market, and were slower to react to an SOES trade because of antiquated technology. Today, however, scalping for fractions is much harder. Now there are thousands of traders using SOES, many competing for the same print from a single market maker. It has also become increasingly difficult for SOES scalpers to receive. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Dominant Cycle MACD was invented by Gerry Appel for the stock market because he noted significant market cycles of 12 to 13 weeks and 24 to 28 weeks. Although developed for weekly markets, MACD has been used with the constants unchanged for daily commodity markets This must be a truly robust indicator since there is no guarantee that there are 13- or 26-day cycles in commodities. A divergence occurs when the line drawn between successive significant highs of the indicator have a slope opposite that of the line drawn between significant highs of the price. Divergence can also occur between the lines drawn between the significant lows of the indicator and the price. Convergence occurs when these lines have the same slope, allowing the indicator to reinforce the direction of the price move. I must confess a personal trading weakness. I cannot see convergences and divergences as they develop in real time. When concentrating on trading and trying to estimate what the future will bring, I cannot define to. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Volume Analysis Of all the momentum indicators out there, I like PMO, developed by Carl Swenlin. This proprietary indicator is based on a rate-of-change calculation, which is exponentially smoothed. PMO behaves similar to the MACD momentum oscillator developed by Gerald Appel. We use the weekly PMO and MACD on the indexes to pick trends that usually last from three to six months. Figure 6.13 shows the topping process in the Samp P 500 in January to March 2004, as discussed previously. Notice here that both the PMO and MACD indicators had bearish crossovers and triggered sell signals in early March 2004, which predicted a decline that would last several months. The next bullish weekly crossover on the PMO and MACD did not come until mid-October 2004 therefore, the decline from the March high lasted seven months. During this time frame, traders would have been out of the market or short. Also notice a bullish weekly crossover of PMO and MACD came in March 2003, and both PMO and MACD trended higher. Last Updated on Tue, 17 Mar 2015 Global Economy By now, you can see that trading forex involves making a sequence of decisions. You begin by first deciding which direction to take the next trade. This decision is based on assessing sentiment and trend direction. The second step is deciding where to enter the trade. Entering the trade off a trend line or Fib line is an example of the basis for this decision. But the third key step is pulling the trigger-deciding to put on the trade. This is where technical indicators come into play and become a critical tool to confirm your analysis and instincts. The list of potential indicators used to help shape forex analysis is quite extensive. Many technical indicators used for equity and futures markets do not apply to forex because forex trading does not provide volume data. The new trader is likely to become confused as to which indicators to use. This chapter will guide you. Average True Range Bollinger Bands Commodity Channel Index Envelopes MACD MACD Histogram Momentum Moving Average. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Position Sizing Oscillators such as RSI, stochastics, Williams R, etc. are all designed to help people who are trying to pick tops and bottoms. In my opinion, this is a fools game, and there is no evidence that entry signals based upon oscillators have a reliability much better than chance. In fact, in most cases there is no evidence that the market generally meets the assumptions that many oscillators are making. As a result, Ive elected not to give a long discussion on something in which I have little faith. This sort of trading sets up the possibility of a highly reliable trading signal with a very small stop (i. e. the extreme of the reaction). In addition, since the risk of such a trade is quite small, it means that the reward-to-risk ratio of the potential trade could be very high. This is actually an example of a retracement setup as discussed in the last chapter, and it is, in my opinion, the best way to use oscillators. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Global Economy A rule of thumb is that a buying opportunity occurs when the MACD line crosses the signal line and goes above it. A selling opportunity occurs when the MACD line crosses below the signal line. The center line or the 0 line is useful also. When the MACD swings above or below the center line there is another buy or sell potential. Traders find the MACD complicated. Thomas Aspray introduced a new idea called the MACD Histogram. The MACD histogram is useful in indicating that a trend reversal may be near. What you want to look for is divergence. If the price is going up and the MACD is going down below its signal line, the trend may change. The histogram version is very useful because the Histogram is a way of showing the distance between the MACD and its signal line. By seeing whether the histogram bars have changed slope, you can see early on if there is a divergence. If the histogram slope is pointing up and the price is flat or still down, this is a sign of a possible reversal. Gráficos Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Minute Chart Scalp trading is when you use the 1 to 5 min charts to scalp small profits. These trades usually only last a few minutes to an hour. You can use the FPS to scalp trade Forex on the 1 min charts. Here is how Often it is best to scalp trade at the London Open (3 00 AM EST) or the New York open (8 00 AM EST) because that is generally Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 White Candlestick One of the most popular uses of the exponential moving average is for use in the MACD (Moving Average Convergence-Divergence). The MACD is composed of two lines. The first line is the difference between two exponential moving averages (usually the 26- and 12-period exponential moving averages). The second line of the MACD is made by taking an exponential moving average (usually a 9 period) of the difference between the two exponential moving averages used to make the first line. This second line is called the signal line. More about the MACD in Exhibits 13.7 and 13.8. Last Updated on Wed, 27 Apr 2016 Time Frame Overbought (OB) and Oversold (OS) are among the least understood market conditions that traders grapple with. Most lose money attempting to utilize what they know about the subject. This is not surprising, because were getting into the use of coincident and Leading Indicators and very few traders are properly prepared for the challenge these concepts present. Because of the level of misunderstanding, instead of narrowly defining what I use and how I use it, my approach will be to discuss the broad topic of Oscillators in general what works, what doesnt, and why. Typical thinking about Oscillators can be summed up by the following comment. Oscillators work in a consolidating market, but once a Trend starts, they dont work at all. While this thinking may be typical, it severely limits and distorts a wealth of important trading strategies. The idea behind the statement goes something like this. You can sell Overbought and buy Oversold, as long as the market is consolidating and you. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Market Timing In chapter 7, we examined a number of chart patterns and technical indicators used by analysts to differentiate between under and over valued stocks. Many of these indicators are also used by analysts to determine whether and by how much the entire market is under or over valued. In this section, we consider some of these indicators. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Call Option Most traders are familiar with a set of market-timing indicators that are described as oscillators. Their goal is to identify trading opportunities which may exist whenever the oscillator indicates a market is overbought or oversold. Those who use oscillators typically relate market price activity to oscillator behavior over compa Although the preceding comments are applicable to almost all market-timing oscillators, we are partial to using them with the ones we have developed. Many other widely followed oscillators are exponentially calculated and, consequently, have a tendency to create faulty readings. Also, the calculations for these oscillators require closing price comparisons from one price bar to the next. Because of this requirement, unscheduled market closings due to electrical failures or bad weather or unexpected news or political events such as assassinations or earthquakes can all skew closing price levels, thereby distorting the overall oscillator reading, not only for. Last Updated on Wed, 02 Mar 2016 Covariance Matrix The purpose of this section is not so much to provide a formal description of the Arrow-Debreu theory as much as to provide a flavor for it. Let us consider the scenario that involves placing bets on a set of outcomes. Examples of such events could be a boxing match or a horse race. In these cases, the set of outcomes is finite and well defined. We will use the horse race example for purposes of illustration. Important to the discussion is the notion of betting. If, for example, the bet is placed in favor of a horse and it wins the race, then the reward is the payoff from the bet. If it happens to lose, then here, too, the reward is the payoff from the bet, except that the payoff is probably zero dollars. Thus, a bet is completely defined when we specify the payoff for every possible outcome. To place a bet, one has to put up the stake money. This is specified by the bookie. The Arrow-Debreu theory states that the full and complete specification of bets with the stake money and the. Last Updated on Sun, 03 May 2015 Swing Trading Generally speaking, the technical investor will use a combination of price, volume and time-sensitive technical indicators to maximize their profits. Here is a complete list of technical indicators utilized by SwingTracker, IQC Corporations award-winning technical analysis charting software. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Support Line The quantitative, or mathematical tools for the technical analysis called the technical indicators are being obtained as a result of the mathematical processing of prices averaged in time as well as other characteristics of market movements. They are applied to get signals for an additional evaluation of trade channels and patterns analysis by means of the indicators charts. The main groups of technical indicators are moving averages and oscillators. Osciladores Oscillators were designed to provide signals regarding overbought and oversold market conditions. Therefore the signals of oscillators are mostly useful at the extremes of their scales. Crossing the zero line, when applicable, usually generates direction signals. The major types of oscillators provided by the RoyalForex program are considered below. Convergence Divergence of Moving Averages. The moving average convergence-divergence (MACD) oscillator is built on exponentially smoothed moving aver ages. The MACD is a. There are many ways to generate entry signals using oscillators. In this chapter, three are discussed. One popular means of generating entry signals is to treat the oscillator as an overbought oversold indicator. A buy is signaled when the oscillator moves below some threshold, into oversold territory, and then crosses back above that threshold. A sell is signaled when the oscillator moves above another threshold, into overbought territory, and then crosses below that threshold. There are traditional thresholds that can used for the various oscillators. A second way oscillators are sometimes used to generate signals is with a so-called signal line, which is usually a moving average of the oscillator. Signals to take long or short positions are issued when the oscillator crosses above or below (respectively) the signal line. The trader can use these signals on their own in a reversal system or make use of additional, independent exit rules. Ets begin this discussion with the understanding that the definition of scalping, turn, swing, and position trading will vary from trader to trader We need a baseline so I will describe each of these trading types as it pertains to how you may want to incorporate each into your approach to the markets and also which you find you may begin to adopt more actively into your trading day. There is one idea I should say one myth that needs to be dispelled. Trading types have nothing to do with how long you are in a trade. The idea that a trade is defined by the time spent in the market is ridiculous. Trade types are defined by how you enter a trade, not by its duration. There are only two reasons to exit a trade because your stop-loss was reached or because your profit target was reached. The time it takes to do either is irrelevant. With that said, well cover scalping first. Scalping, in my opinion, is an advanced type of trading, not because of the style itself, but because the speed at. In 1979 Gerald Appel improved the price oscillator, discussed in Chapter 3, by adding a moving average of the price oscillator itself. Buy signals came when the price oscillator moved above the second moving average, called a trigger line. He called the new technical oscillator the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Oscillator, or MACD (pronounced M-A-C-D, or Mac-D). Buy signals are generated when the Figure 4-1 shows the addition of the trigger line to the price oscillator that was first plotted in Figure 3-13, The two combined oscillators make up the MACD. Note that this MACD is much faster to signal entrances into upward trends and also much quicker to get out of losing trades. Prove this for yourself by comparing Figures 3-13 and 4-1. Appel studied the MACD at great length and has made a series of recommendations, some of which can be summarized as follows 1. Establish the trend of the security by determining whether the 50-unit moving average has a positive or negative slope. Ou can combine candlestick patterns effectively with a variety of technical indicators to produce information that helps you decide when to put on and get out of trades. Like candlestick patterns, many technical indicators tell you when a trend is about to reverse, but several others can let you know that a prevailing trend continues. These indicators are powerful weapons that can add to the versatility of your trading arsenal. If you understand how to use technical indicators in tandem with bullish-trending candlestick patterns, its easier for you to spot situations where buying to enter a long position is a wise move. And you can also use technical indicators to confirm market or individual security predictions that youve made based on candlestick patterns. I cover all that and more in this chapter, and I focus my discussion on two of the most common technical indicators trendlines and moving averages. If you need a refresher on those two indicators, flip back to Chapter 11. If. Oscillators and trend-following indicators are valuable tools that help traders to locate trading ideas and to find additional confirmation of what theyre seeing in the charts. Technical indicators are broken down into two areas trend-following tools and oscillators. Both will help you to identify trending markets, overbought and oversold conditions, pullbacks, and turning points. Youll find that certain indicators resonate with you, while others dont. The object of using them is to help you narrow down an idea, not for confirmation alone. Price action and volume are the only factual confirmations available to a trader. Indicators will help you locate the potential for price action. Oscillators are powerful tools for confirming a pullback during a trend. It is during the period of time when trends consolidate that oscillators produce potent signals for reentry onto the trend. Going long during a pullback within an uptrend is referred to as trading the up hook. The up hook is a. Last Updated on Tue, 17 Mar 2015 Forex Surfing Why be a Forex Scalper Simply put, it is both fun AND profitable The concepts are easy to learn, easy to do (once youre skilled at it), provides you with an adrenaline rush, and can fatten your bank account. Personally, I think that of all Forex trading methods that scalping is simply the most fun. The trading style is mentally stimulating, and its exciting to watch your profits grow. If you are a chronic trader, someone who enjoys doing frequent trades, youll find that here youll have the chance to be trigger-happy. Day traders often have to wait for hours before a good trading opportunity comes along (sometimes they dont even trade that day if nothing seems to happen), position traders often have to wait for days or even weeks before a suitable trading opportunity presents itself, but a scalper can be joyfully raking in fantastic profits while the other traders are bored out of their minds For these reasons experienced Forex traders can also add scalping to their trading Ill. Numerous technical indicators may automatically appear on the charts you generate. Technical indicators are ways of analyzing current trends in the market in hopes of being able to predict future trends. You can usually expect to see some sort of average of closing prices (a moving average), and possibly another basic technical indicator, on a chart. Dont let them rattle you, because you can remove them if you want, or even better alter them to your personal preferences. (I discuss a variety of technical indicators in detail in Part IV.) Take a look at Figure 3-6 a chart that includes a moving average, one common type of technical indicator. Among the different types of technical indicators are those that need their own space on a chart, much like volume or open interest. Figure 3-7 is a chart with a technical indicator known as the relative strength index (RSI) on the bottom. The RSI indicates the trend of price movements. (RSI is covered in depth in Chapter 13.) The crooked line is. Last Updated on Tue, 17 Mar 2015 Support Resistance The main idea behind the scalping strategy in FOREX trading is to take very small profits very quickly from very small movements of price, such as 2 to 10 pips. The trades normally are entered and exited within minutes or even seconds. Small profits add up because the number of daily trades can be very high, ranging from 20 to 100 trades on average. Scalping is considered to be a risky trading style. However, this will depend on which times of the day and which types of markets are used. Although it is possible to scalp successfully in trending conditions, the best trading times are when the market is ranging inside consolidation patterns. Most of the time, this is so thus there are plenty of times to choose from to implement this strategy. High volatility or news releases are not recommended because of a higher risk involved. The strategy has to be very well determined in advance, as for any trading system, especially in terms of risk management. A fast reaction and decision time is. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Exit Strategy Oscillators are indicators that tend to fluctuate quasi-cyclically within a limited range. They are very popular among technical traders and appear in most charting packages. Entry models based on oscillators are endogenous in nature (they do not require anything but market data) and are fairly simple to implement, characteristics they share with breakout and moving-average models. However, breakout and moving-average models tend to enter the market late, often too late, because they are designed to respond to, rather than anticipate, market behavior. In contrast, oscillators anticipate prices by identifying turning points so that entry can occur before, rather than after, the market moves. Since they attempt to anticipate prices, oscillators characteristically generate countertrend entries. A signal line is another way to generate entries. It is calculated by taking a moving average of the oscillator, The trader buys when the oscillator crosses above the signal line and sells short. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Stockteacher Method What Do Scalpers Do Scalpers look to enter and exit trades in minutes. The time that scalpers stay in a trade can range from seconds to minutes. Requirements for Scalpers Stamina. The constant focus drains mental energy as scalpers make dozens of trades every day. They must constantly focus their energy throughout the entire trading day and only take a brief lunch break. Discipline to take small stop-losses. Scalpers must use 2 to 4-cent stop-losses and never, ever more than 10 cents. Scalping is a style of trading when the trader tries to pull 5, 10, or 20 cents out of the market. Scalpers look for very fast moves that range from seconds to minutes. They do not like to ride through many small wiggles they hop on the boat and get off at the first sign of danger. The scalper always uses a very tight stop-loss and normally uses 1,000-share lots. If he is looking for a 10-cent ride, his stop-loss would be about 2 cents. If he is looking for a larger ride in a higher-priced stock, he. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Power Output The superheterodyne receiver utilizes one or more local oscillators and mixers to convert the echo to an intermediate frequency that is convenient for filtering and processing operations. The receiver can be tuned by changing the first LO frequency without disturbing the IF section of the receiver. Subsequent shifts in intermediate frequency are often accomplished within the receiver by additional LOs, generally of fixed frequency. In many early radars, the only function of the local oscillators was conversion of the echo frequency to the correct intermediate frequency. The majority of modern radar systems, however, coherently process a series of echoes from a target. The local oscillators act essentially as a timing standard by which the echo delay is measured to extract range information, accurate to within a small fraction of a wavelength. The processing demands a high degree of phase stability Range Dependence. Most modern radars use the stalo to. Last Updated on Thu, 10 Mar 2016 Implied Volatility Most traders would rather go home with a flat position. Day traders, scalpers, position traders, options speculators, and market makers would all be delighted if the market were to do what they expected before the closing bell, so that they could get flat. They would rather not have to worry about it overnight and enjoy the fact that they had had a good day. The next section is devoted to the concept of getting in and out of spreads which do not have a transparent price level. Last Updated on Tue, 17 Mar 2015 Pivot Points If you want to fully understand its use, please refer to That page will tell you all you really need to know about this truly powerful indicator. It is important in forex trading. as in other forms of trading, that you use MACD in different time frames to get a handle on where price action really is going. Dont just depend on any one time frame. Its best to view this indicator at different levels, starting at higher levels - i. e. longer-time duration - and then cranking the microscope down to lower levels. To explain, a downtrend can persist in spite of higher MACD lows on a shorter time frame, indicating that, if the price range has been huge, it has progressively reduced the effectiveness of this indicator on the shorter time frame. The higher time frame can remain in a sell mode, and confirm a downtrend, even though the shorter time frame is faking you out with what appears to be a buy signal. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Market Indicators Scalp trading is a way of profiting from price fluctuations in the stock market. These trades are usually fast and sometimes difficult to judge, lasting from seconds to mere minutes with only 0.125 to 0.5 point gains. When just beginning, trade with small shares to reduce the cost of learning as you gain experience. Think of it as baby steps. Most people that put on skis for the first time, wouldnt likely climb the highest mountain in Denver, Colorado before at This kind of adventure requires gaining experience the old-fashioned way through trial and error. Due to the quick time frame of scalping, there are various levels of risk-rewards ratios and strategies used. The best scalp traders have trained themselves to think quickly on their feet and to place numerous orders like second nature. Hesitation is always a risky cost in the stock market, but even more so when scalp trading. Before you even begin a scalp trade, do your research on whats happening in the market. Once youve. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Forex Surfing There are a few main premises of scalping that are useful to keep in mind to understand the logic behind these techniques. Smaller moves are easier to gain - In my previous eBooks I mentioned that the larger your target pip gain the higher the possibility that the target wont be reached. I have been known to say that it is easier to catch 20 pips than 200 simply because in the time that it would take to reach that goal the market sentiment could change due to unforeseen circumstances. As a scalper it is reasonably easy to determine a small movement in a particular direction and to capitalize on a few pips before the market will likely reverse. Limit risk due to limited exposure - An active scalp trade typically lasts for a very brief duration. This reduces the likelihood that unforeseen news or a Fundamental Announcement will negatively affect the trade. Profit from trending sentiment - Currency pairs tend to trend or bounce around in the absence of any news or relevant events. Last Updated on Thu, 16 Apr 2015 Forex Surfing I think that is it worth mentioning here that there are people that I would label as Kamikaze Scalpers. This IS NOT something that I would endorse for you, but will mention it here because sooner or later you will be tempted to start thinking about it, and there are many people who do it. Because scalping involves tiny trades (in duration and amplitude) many scalpers trade significantly larger amounts of lots (regular or mini) to leverage the tiny pip gains into more substantial profits. The Kamikaze Scalpers might thus be risking far more than the suggested 1 to 2 per trade. I urge you to consider against becoming a Kamikaze Scalper simply because the higher your risk percentage per trade the greater the risk that a draw-down Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Protective Stop The original MACD indicator consists of two lines a solid line (called the MACD line) and a dashed line (called the Signal line). The MACD line is made up of two exponential moving averages (EMAs). It responds to changes in prices relatively quickly. The Signal line is made up of the MACD line smoothed with another EMA. It responds to changes in prices more slowly. Buy and sell signals are given when the fast MACD line crosses above or below the slow Signal line. The MACD indicator is included in most programs for technical analysis. Few traders calculate it by hand a computer does the job faster and more accurately. To create MACD 3. Subtract the 26-day EMA from the 12-day EMA, and plot their difference as a solid line. This is the fast MACD line. Crossovers of the MACD and Signal lines identify shifts in the balance of power of bulls and bears. The fast MACD line reflects mass consensus over a shorter period. The slow Signal line reflects mass consensus over a longer period. Quando. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Protective Stop MACD-Histogram offers a deeper insight into the balance of power between bulls and bears than the original MACD. It shows not only whether bulls or bears are in control but also whether they are growing stronger or weaker. It is one of the best tools available to a market technician. MACD-Histogram MACD line - Signal line MACD-Histogram measures the difference between the MACD line and the Signal line (see worksheet, Figure 26-1). It plots that difference as a histogram a series of vertical bars. That distance may appear puny, but a computer rescales it to fill the screen. If the fast line is above the slow line, MACD-Histogram is positive and plotted above the zero line. If the fast line is below the slow line, MACD-Histogram is negative and plotted below the zero line. When the two lines touch, MACD-Histogram equals zero. When the spread between the MACD and Signal lines increases, MACD-Histogram becomes taller or deeper, depending on its direction. When the two lines draw closer. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Forex Trading The scalper has the goal of a quick trade for small but leveraged profits. The scalper prefers to trade frequently for small moves instead of working for larger moves. The scalper focuses on the goal of taking profits quickly from the market and trades in a very limited time frame. Scalpers focus on the most recent price action and on small time intervals, from 10-minute candles to 1-minute candles. The trader seeing a high probable trade can decide to put on multiple lots and then attempt to obtain 5 to 10 pips or more. Parabolic patterns are excellent conditions for a scalp. After a parabolic move up, the probability of a fading of the sentiment is great. The scalper has to minimize the risk of a whipsaw. There is no perfect strategy, but the use of renko blocks Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Opening Price Subtracting the slow line (signal line) from the fast line (MACD line) creates the MACD histogram. Plot the difference in the form of histogram bars. When the fast line is above the slow line, the histogram bar is plotted above the zero line. When the fast line is beneath the slow line, the bar is beneath the zero line. The slope of the histogram depends on the difference between the fast line and the slow line. Stronger bull action will cause the fast line to be farther above the slow line thus the histogram will have longer lines above zero. The same holds true to the downside when the bears take control. The right way to use the MACD histogram is Figure 17-2 shows a chart of Dell Computer (DELL) with MACD lines superimposed on top of the chart, and with an MACD histogram displayed beneath the chart. The chart also has an 8-period moving average. Toward the end of July and the beginning of August, DELL formed bullish divergence with the MACD histogram. On the second higher bottom of. Scalping can have various descriptions depending on whom you ask. Some folks would say that some Forex Surfing techniques are considered scalps due to the small size and duration of the trades. Different traders have different techniques for scalping, but one thing that can be universally agreed upon is that scalping involves tiny trades (both in amplitude and duration). Typically, scalping is a specialized technique that involves making a tiny trade to capture a very small movement in the market. Whereas a position trader may engage in trades that are intended to last for multiple days to months (aiming for targets of hundreds to thousands of pips), and a day trader typically engages in trades that are intended to last for less than a day (aiming for targets ranging from 20 to 100 pips), a scalper engages in trades that might only last a few minutes aiming for targets of 5 pips. A scalper typically trades multiple Forex lots (mini or regular lots depending on the size of the account. There are two main forms of oscillators. Linear band-pass filters are one form of oscillator. They may be analyzed for frequency (periodicity) and phase response. The MACD and MACD-H are of this class. Another form of oscillator places some aspect of price behavior into a normalized scale (the RSI, Stochastics, and belong to this class) unlike the first category, these oscillators are not linear filters with clearly defined phase and frequency behavior. Both types of oscillators highlight momentum and cyclical movement, while downplaying trends and eliminating long-term offsets i. e. they both produce plots that tend to oscillate. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Oscillator, or MACD (and MACD-Histogram), operates as a crude band-pass filter, removing both slow trends and offsets, as well as high-frequency jitter or noise. It does this while passing through cyclic activity or waves that fall near the center of the pass-band. The MACD smooths data, as does a moving average but. Sat, 09 Apr 2016 Implied Volatility Often, when I ask What is the best position for a market maker to have (I am looking for the answer a flat position) students say, Long gamma. It is true that a long gamma position creates deltas favorable to the market direction. That is a wonderful thing to have happen, but remember that there is a luxury tax attached to this position and can be very costly. The exposure is negative theta, which means that your asset is wasting away and is also subject to potentially devastating decreases in implied volatility. Gamma scalping methods can be used to recapture some or all of the lost premium, but it is more of a defensive play (money saver) than a money maker. Gamma scalping is basically fading the market as the position manufactures deltas. Gamma scalping is not for everyone, but the following discussion will surely tie up a lot of loose ends regarding options behavior. The gamma scalping type of neutralization, also referred to as delta hedging, is performed on an as needed basis by. Sun, 21 Aug 2016 Drawing Indicators Oscillators come in all shapes and sizes, but for my money nothing beats the MACD histogram for sheer simplicity or accuracy. The MACD turn, which is a setup I like to trade on anything from as small as 15-minute bar charts to as large as weekly candlesticks graphs, operates on a deceptively simple premise but actually uses rather fancy money management to turn it into success. The basic premise of the MACD turn is this Momentum precedes price. That means in a battle between price and momentum always trust momentum. 2. Overlay the MACD histogram using standard MACD settings of 9-period exponential moving average (EMA) and 12-period EMA. 4. For a short setup look for the MACD histogram to print a lower high bar indicating that momentum is waning. 8. If price moves in the opposite direction of the trade and makes new swing highs but MACD histogram does not, sell another one-third of the position at market. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Technical Indicators Although there have been many tests of technical analysis over the years, most of these tests have focused on the profitability of technical trading rules.9 Although some of these studies do find that technical indicators can generate statistically significant trading profits, but they beg the question of whether or not such profits are merely the equilibrium rents that accrue to investors willing to bear the risks associated with such strategies. Without specifying a fully articulated dynamic general equilibrium asset-pricing model, it is impossible to determine the economic source of trading profits. Tables III and IV report summary statistics means, standard deviations, skewness, and excess kurtosis of unconditional and conditional normalized returns of NYSE AMEX and Nasdaq stocks, respectively. These statistics show considerable variation in the different return populations. For example, in Table III the first four moments of normalized raw returns are 0.000, 1.000, 0.345, and. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Commodity Markets Technical analysis lias always had an inward focus. Emphasis was placed on a particular market to which a host of internal technical indicators were applied. There It was enough for the technical analyst to study only the market in question. To consider outside influences seemed like heresy. To look at what the other markets were doing smacked of fundamental or economic analysis. All of that is now changing. Intermarket analysis is a step in another direction. It uses information in related markets in much the same way that traditional technical indicators have been employed. Stock technicians talk about the divergence between bonds and stocks in much the same way that they used to talk about divergence between stocks and the advance decline line. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Commodity Markets The goal of this book is to demonstrate how these intermarket relationships work in a way that can be easily recognized by technicians and nontechnicians alike. You wont have to be a technical expert to understand the argument, although some knowledge of technical analysis wouldnt hurt. For those who are new to technical work, some of the principles and tools employed throughout the book are explained in the Glossary. However, the primary focus here is to study interrelationships between markets, not to break any new ground in the use of traditional technical indicators. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Commodity Markets All markets are interrelated markets dont move in isolation. 2. Intermarket work provides important background data. 3. Intermarket work uses external, as opposed to internal, data. 4. Technical analysis is the preferred vehicle. 5. Heavy emphasis is placed on the futures markets. 6. Futures-oriented technical indicators are employed. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Protective Stop The fourth chapter teaches modern methods of computerized technical analysis. Indicators provide a deeper insight into mass psychology than classical technical analysis. Trend-following indicators help identify market trends, while oscillators show when trends are ready to reverse. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Profit Target When I show you the strategy behind the Institutional Forex System, you will quickly realize how simple it is. Dont be fooled into thinking the simplicity makes it less powerful. In fact, the biggest mistake individual traders make is always feeling the need to be doing something. Increased trading does not mean better results nor does making the strategy complicated. The best professional traders will sit on their hands when a good opportunity is not there and the best strategies are those that are simple in nature. Most individual traders are wiped out by the institutions simply because they are trading too much, partly because of greed and partly because of the need to feel like they are involved in the market. Professional traders arent looking for action we go to Vegas for that. We are looking to take down other traders that are opposite our view on a particular trade and that is easy to do when you have individuals who are trading without a sound strategy. Outro. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Chart Patterns On the other hand, the proliferation of computers over the last two decades has spawned a new breed of technicians. Ive labeled these statistical technicians. Statistical technicians take raw price data (i. e. open, high, low, close, volume, and open interest) and then crunch it to arrive at objective buy sell signals. Human emotion and subjectivity are enemies to the statistical technician, so he attempts to remove these enemies by developing a computerized, mechanical trading system. Statistical technicians may or may not use price charts in their work. The traditional chartist relies on visual interpretation, while the statistical chartist relies on mathematical interpretation. Since the computer is so adept and speedy at performing accurate mathematical calculations, it is little wonder that the growth in the number of technical indicators over the last two decades has been tremendous. The old standbys, RSI, Stochastics, Momentum, and others still serve us well. However, new. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Trading Range Intraday charts can be traded utilizing Fibonacci, Gann, and Elliot techniques, fan lines, speedlines, pitchforks, oscillators, moving averages, RSI, Stochastics, DEMA, MACD, Commodity Channel Index, Volatility Stop, Parabolic Stop, Cycle Projection, and any other of the host of technical analysis tools available for use in the market today. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Commodity Markets Since most of our attention will be focused on the futures markets, Ill be employing technical indicators that are used primarily in the iutures markets. There is an enormous amount of overlap between technical analysis of stocks and futures, but there are certain types of indicators that are more heavily used in each area. For one thing, Ill be using mostly price-based indicators. Readers familiar with traditional technical analysis such as price pattern analysis, trendlines, support and resistance, moving averages, and oscillators should have no trouble at all. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Exchange Rate The premise of this chapter is to examine the use of regression models in EUR USD forecasting and trading models. In particular, the performance of NNR models is compared with other traditional forecasting techniques to ascertain their potential added value as a forecasting tool. Such methods include ARMA modelling, logit estimation, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) technical models, and a naive strategy. Except for the straightforward naive strategy, all benchmark models were estimated on our insample period. As all of these methods are well documented in the literature, they are simply outlined below. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Volatility Indicator Most traders prefer the long side of the market and look for an uptrending market. The confirming pattern identifies exactly that condition. When the Adx and Macd move up in unison, they confirm rising price direction the Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (Bmy) chart in Figure 2 offers a good example of a confirming pattern. The Adx and Macd rose as price moved up strongly in September to December 2000. When price changed direction in January 2001, both the Adx and Macd followed suit. The falling Adx was not indicating that a downtrend had begun merely that it no longer could find a trend. In this example, the Macd showed that price was retracing its prior upward march. But sometimes when both indicators fall, price forms a sideways trading range, rather than the more pronounced downward move seen in this chart. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Market Makers Scalping Scalping describes ultra short term trading. Scalpers try to take advantage of very small price movements and sell their shares immediately when they have a big enough profit or the stock isnt moving in their direction or goes against them. Cutting the spread Cutting the spread can be seen as a scalping variety. Cutting the spread means to take advantage of the spread (the price difference between the bid and the ask price). It means to buy a stock on the bid side and to sell it immediately afterwards on the ask side for a small profit. Since the decimalization of the markets this type of trading has certainly become much more difficult because spreads have gotten much smaller, however I still see traders implementing this strategy pretty successfully. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Capital Exposure In almost every trading book and course Ive seen over the past 20 or more years, the trading educators show many after-the-fact examples of how their trend indicator identified the trend direction long after the trend was established. It is easy to show a trend on any chart long after the trend is established. But how do we identify trend direction in the early stages How do we identify when an established trend is in the later stages and in a position to make a trend reversal Without some approach to help identify where within the trend the market likely is, typical trend analysis will usually be too early or too late to be useful over time. In fact, most methods of identifying a price trend are doomed to failure for practical trade strategies with as many false reversal signals as confirmed ones. This is a bold statement, but I believe it is true. Its time to stop the madness and and deal with the reality of trend position. I defy any trading educator to provide evidence that his. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Market Participants Currencies rarely spend much time in tight trading ranges and have the tendency to develop strong trends. Over 80 of volume is speculative in nature as a result, the market frequently overshoots and then corrects itself A technically trained trader can easily identify new trends and breakouts, which provide multiple opportunities to enter and exit positions. Charts and indicators are used by all professional FX market traders and candle charts are available on most charting packages In addition, the most commonly used indicators such as Fibonacci Retracements. Stochastics, MACD. Moving Averages. RSI and support resistance levels have proven valid in many instances. In the NZD USD chart below, it is clear that Fibonacci Retracements. Moving Averages and Stochastics have at one point or another given successful trading signals For example, the 62 retracement level has served as support for the NZD USD from the beginning of September 2002 to the end of September 2002 Last Updated on Sun, 03 May 2015 Volatility Indicator Raders use technical indicators to The indicators involved are the average directional index (Adx) and the moving average convergence divergence (Macd). The Adx functions as a trend detector, rising as price strengthens into an identifiable trend and falling when price moves sideways or loses its trending power. Adx values in the 20 to 30 range indicate mild to moderate trending behavior, while values above 30 usually signify a strong trend. Unfortunately, the Adx does not reveal the trend direction. The Macd, on the other hand, indicates price momentum and can also be used to identify price direction as it rises above its trigger line or falls below its zero line. When both indicators are plotted on the same chart, trend strength and trend direction become clear. The chart of Aol Time Warner (Aol) in Figure 1 illustrates how the two indicators complement each other. The Adx in the upper panel rose from April through May 2001, indicating a trending market. The Macd rose above its. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Optimal Signal The Portfolio View should currently display a red arrow and a percentage next to Baxter. case, the symbol indicates that the price may decrease, but no action should be taken on this date. TradingSolutions displays signals as directional arrows and triangles. Here is a partial list of the symbols that are used Enter Long A Exit Short Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Power Index A caveat As you study, try not to let your mind wander. If you have experience with bar charts, Pamp F charts, moving averages, oscillators, technical formations, etc. dont think about them. They do not have anything to do with this study. We do use graphs, but they do not incorporate the aforementioned factors. Last Updated on Tue, 02 Feb 2016 Volatility Indicator The indicator combination shines when a price downtrend is in progress and they form a divergence. The Adx rises as it identifies the trend, while the Macd falls below its trigger line and often below its zero line. The two indicators no longer move in tandem instead, they diverge and form almost a mirror image of each other. During the severe 2000-01 decline in Cisco Systems (Csco), the Adx-Macd combination formed several easily identifiable diverging patterns as one rose and the other fell (Figure 3). They reflected the falling prices in September-october and December 2000 time periods, as well as the continuing decline in February-March 2001. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Futures Trading Gerald Appel is known as he father of moving average convergence divergence (MACD), an indicator he developed for the purpose of trading stock index futures. He is an accomplished professional trader who has achieved both the respect and recognition of his peers as a highly disciplined and innovative trader. He brings to Market Masters his skill, insights and observations. Last Updated on Sun, 15 May 2016 Equity Curve You must ensure that your beliefs are consistent. For example, if you like fast action, you probably will not use weekly data, nor hold positions as long as necessary. Nor are you likely to use fundamental data in your analysis. Hence, a need for fast action is more consistent with day trading, and using cycles, patterns, and oscillators with intraday data. Similarly, if you like a trend-following approach, you are more likely to use daily and weekly data, hold positions for more than five days, trade a variable number of contracts, and trade a diversified portfolio. If you hold multiple beliefs, ensure that they are a consistent set and develop models that fit those beliefs. A set of consistent beliefs that can be used to build trading systems is listed below as an example. 1 like to trade with price oscillators. a a Take the time to get familiar with an array of technical indicators to make you a more versatile trader and enrich your work with candlestick charts. For example, its great when you spot a candlestick pattern indicating that its time to buy, and at the same time, your favorite technical indicator is also flashing a buy signal. Combining trading tools helps build your confidence and can help you quickly determine when a trade isnt going to work out, allowing you to exit with minimal losses. I explore several different types of technical indicators in Chapter 11 and clue you in on a few ways that you can combine these indicators with candlestick patterns in Part IV (Chapters 11 through 15). Find a few technical indicators that match up to the type of trading you want to pursue and add them to your candlestick charts. Read up on the choices, and if Chapter 11 isnt enough, you can always turn to Technical Analysis For Dummies (Wiley) by Barbara Rockefeller. The added understanding of. Last Updated on Sat, 02 Jan 2016 Technical Analysis Getting the market direction right over the period you are trading is vital to making good trading decisions. This is true not only if you are trading market instruments like index futures and options, index-tracking mutual funds or exchange traded funds. but also if you are trading individual stocks. Even the cheapest of stocks is unlikely to respond if the market is crashing at the time. There is a software package that can help you to look at the underlying technical condition of the U. S. market - the most important in the world - through examining a wide range of proven technical indicators. Chapter 9 looks at multiple time frame analysis - how to incorporate the key technical indicators in different relevant time periods into your decisionmaking. This is an arguably less wrell known technique, but one that is both venerable and highly successful. There is an interview with the developer of the best known standalone software product that incorporates this technique. Last Updated on Tue, 17 Mar 2015 Daily Charts In my previous eBooks I recommend that you use either FXCM or RefcoFX as your Forex trading broker. As Ive stated in Forex Scalping that recommendation isnt because I consider them to be the best brokers overall, but simply because they are the best brokers, in my opinion, to use for a new trader. 2. In the eBook Forex Scalping I promised to share the secret of which broker (at the time of this writing) still guarantees stop orders under all volatile circumstances (i. e. FA), which means that you can sleep easy at night not worrying that something bad could happen to blow out your account. I will discuss this topic and reveal the broker a little later in this section. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Break Charts Lets begin by looking at the commonly accepted technical definition and visualizations of a trend. The technical definition of an uptrend is the occurrence of higher highs and higher lows. The technical definition of a downtrend is the occurrence of lower highs and lower lows. Some technical analysts require two touches of a trend line to achieve the conditions of drawing the line, while others require three. The more touches, of course, the better the confirmation. The commonly accepted method is to draw the downtrend line by locating the highest high and next lower high, and then extending it out into future time (Figure 2.1). To draw the uptrend line (Figure 2.2), locate the lowest low and then the next higher low and extend the line further across the chart, following the arrow of time into the future. The idea is to obtain a sense of where the trend would continue if the price stayed within the boundary. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Exchange Rate The forecasting accuracy statistics do not provide very conclusive results. Each of the models evaluated, except the logit model, are nominated best at least once. Interestingly, the naive model has the lowest Theil-U statistic at 0.6901 if this model is believed to be the best model there is likely to be no added value using more complicated forecasting techniques. The ARMA model has the lowest MAPE statistic at 101.51. and equals the MAE of the NNR model at 0.0056. The NNR model has the lowest RMSE statistic, however the value is only marginally less than the ARMA model. The MACD model has the highest CDC measure, predicting daily changes accurately 60.00 of the time. It is difficult to select a best performer from these results, however a majority decision rule Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Momentum Method Hooks that attempt to teach people how to trade using stochastics and for the most part they are useless. The reason is that in strongly trending upmarkets, these oscillators will tell you the market is overbought, but unfortunately markets can remain this way for days and weeks (the reverse is true for downtrending markets). Traders get killed setting into these markets as they continue to rise. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Exchange Rate A comparison of the trading performance results is presented in Table 1.20 and Figure 1.18. The results of the NNR model are quite impressive. It generally outperforms the benchmark strategies, both in terms of overall profitability with an annualised return of 29.68 and a cumulative return of 34.16. and in terms of risk-adjusted performance with a Sharpe ratio of 2.57. The logit model has the lowest downside risk as measured by maximum drawdown at -5.79. and the MACD model has the lowest downside risk 21 As the MACD model is not based on forecasting the next period and binary variables are used in the logit model, statistical accuracy comparisons with these models were not always possible. Last Updated on Thu, 12 May 2016 Money Management I am an Italian trader and I want to offer you my congratulations. Your site has all the right concepts about trading, not like so many others. People use fundamental analysis, technical analysis (methods like Elliot, Gann, Fibonacci, pattern recognition and other technical indicators that are completely useless) or new technology like neural networks or genetic algorithms because they want to predict markets, control the market and because they do not know the really important things for trading success. We must have rigid money management rules and control volatility. If we do not do this and the market go against us, we will lose. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Forex Surfing Can you combine scalping techniques with the exponential growth plan presented in the eBook Forex Freedom Absolutely Most scalping techniques initially rely upon a 10 pip stop (elaborated upon later in this eBook) however the plan as laid out in Forex Freedom assumes you are using 20 pip stops. As scalping is somewhat riskier dont double your lots, but just follow along with the suggested amount of lots as described in that eBook. If you do intend to scalp your way through the Forex Freedom plan I would strongly recommend that you have plenty of practice in a demo account (and have demonstrated profit) before scalping in your real money mini account. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Break Charts Once he knows that average, the trader can shape several trading strategies based on the average. If it is almost always the case that a reversal occurrence results in a series of new highs or new lows, then trading that phenomenon with a scalping strategy is worthwhile to pursue. Each market traded has its own reversal signature, and in each case, data on reversal distances needs to be generated and evaluated. What are important are the maximum and the average reversal distances. Once the trader knows these two fields of data, he will have the ability to preset scalping entry and exit targets. We will show this in Chapter 8. Last Updated on Tue, 02 Feb 2016 Futures Contracts On very short-term trades, characterized as scalping, you can be successful with a 1 2 or even a 1 1 ratio. This means if your loss limit is a nickel, you can accept a reward of a dime or even a nickel per the species the underlying entity trades in, e. g. shares, bushels, barrels, bales, pounds, etc. With swing trades. you will be in the market longer (several days to a week or more) and should be looking for ratios of from 1 4 to 1 10. With the former, you are trading heavy and the latter light. Never violate this rule. Long-term investors can look for 100 percent, 200 percent, and more for holding positions for months, quarters, and years. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Open Positions 4X Made Easy is a powerful charting and instant trend analysis tool that receives real-time foreign currency price data and updates directly over the Internet. 4X Made Easy boasts a winning combination of high-quality graphics matched with a complete set of money management analysis functions for almost any trade style. 4X Made Easys on-screen arrows and next-generation buy sell lines are the definitive directional-analysis tools for 4X Made Easy traders. 4X Made Easy 5.0 is perfect for the novice or master trader. 4X Made Easy provides real-time tracking and analysis of the top currencies in the world without the use of complex charts and graphs. Instead, its unique and simple green arrow, red arrow color indicator system identifies trends as well as possible entry and exit points. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Brownian Motion A first round of innovation occurred in the 1950s and 1960s. Kenneth Arrow and Georges Debreu introduced a probabilistic model of markets and the notion of contingent claims. (We discuss their contributions in Chapter 6.) In 1952, Harry Markowitz described mathematically the principles of the investment process in terms of utility optimization. In 1961, Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller clarified the nature of economic value, working out the implications of absence of arbitrage. Between 1964 and 1966, William Sharpe, John Lintner , Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Profit Target The study of chart patterns has gone on for at least a century, and analysts have written many excellent books about this topic over the past decades. Today, many traders prefer to focus on technical indicators that are computer driven and are based on complex mathematical formulas. But computer models have yet to prove that they can consistently outperform pattern recognition as an analysis approach. Last Updated on Fri, 03 Apr 2015 Carry Trades Technical analysis is a very popular tool for short-term to medium-term traders. It works especially well in the currency markets because short-term currency price fluctuations are primarily driven by human emotions or market perceptions. The primary tool in technical analysis is charts. Charts are used to identify trends and patterns in order to find profit opportunities. The most basic concept of technical analysis is that markets have a tendency to trend. Being able to identify trends in their earliest stage of development is the key to technical analysis. Technical analysis integrates price action and momentum to construct a pictorial representation of past currency price action to predict future performance. Technical analysis tools such as Fibonacci retracement levels, moving averages, oscillators, candlestick charts. and Bollinger bands provide further information on the value of emotional extremes of buyers and sellers to direct traders to levels where greed and fear are the. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Technical Analysis MACD - Moving Average Convergence-Divergence. A widely used technical indicator that measures the difference between two moving averages as a way of highlighting early change in direction of the underlying price. Market scanning - use of computer logic to find trading opportunities that have trigger pre-set technical indicators. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Trade Summaries If trend following is such a successful methodology, how can indicators based on the exact opposite philosophy generate consistent profits The simple answer is that mean reversion indicators, such as RSI and other oscillators, work because they capitalize on the markets tendency to overex-tend itself. Although mean reversion indicators such as oscillators attempt to somehow quantify these unsustainable levels of market emotionalism, they Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Money Management Q Are the following technical indicators used Gann, Fibonacci, moving average stochastic, MACD, Bollinger, Williams, RSI or ADX A No. These techniques rely on predictive entry exit indicators. Predictive techniques are futile. If you learn only one lesson from the TurtleTrader site, stop the focus on only entry exit indicators. It is a sure way to the poor house. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Active Boundaries The daily graph (Figure 1.18) shows that at point A we are in a trading range, but it is difficult to evaluate the best timing to purchase the stock Is it better to buy at point A or at point B Please note that during a trading range, both RSI and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) are of little use. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Current Account Determining why foreign exchange rates move the way they do may seem a far too ambitious and challenging task, as it requires making sense of an unlimited array of factors ranging from fundamentals (macroeconomic changes, central bank actions, capital markets changes, corporate dealer transactions, political and geopolitical factors, and news reports) to technicals (price charts, momentum, oscillators, moving averages) to pure flow-driven developments. Other books tackle the theories of international economics and finance that explain the principle drivers of foreign exchange rates. Since this book aims at focusing on the real-world developments impacting currencies, textbook theories take a secondary role in shedding light on the major developments in currencies. These theories are only briefly mentioned. Chapter 3 and 4 tackle the trends in major foreign exchange rates between 1999 and 2007, identifying the highest - and lowest-performing currencies, and citing the fundamental. Last Updated on Wed, 06 Apr 2016 Forex Surfing By the time you finish reading this eBook youll likely feel confident that you can successfully scalp trade. Chances are that youll probably be able to, but just because you can do something doesnt mean you should do something. You really do need to practice to gain proficiency as a scalp trader. You can read this entire eBook, study all the trading rules and trading set ups presented, however there is simply something that I cant teach you that you can only learn by your own practicing. Being able to read the charts in real time and being able to decipher amp to make the decision whether to trade or exit a trade requires what can seem like intuition. Once you are skilled at scalping you almost appear to be psychic to someone sitting next to you. This eBook will teach you the knowledge you need to know to be able to able to scalp trade the Forex market, but, as any athlete can tell you, you need to practice to develop proficiency. Many people have knowledge, but few people have. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Active Boundaries The B arrow of Figure 1.21 shows that some lucky investor bought 170,000 shares at an average price of 9.9, to see the price increase to over 12 in a matter of two days, as shown in Figure 1.22. This is a no-risk profit of more than 357,000. This is not a hedge fund or an institutional investor just a standard information leak. Last Updated on Wed, 10 Feb 2016 Cursor Price You cant simply move to a point using the regular cursor arrow keys. Use the Move To keys or Tool Bar icon. Notice on the keyboard overlay that the function keys control a number of different items depending on which mode is active. You will learn later that the program can have more than one mode active at the same time. Using the Tool Bar icon or the Move To keys does two things. It moves the cursor exactly onto the setup point you wish to modify and it makes that mode the last active mode so that the function keys modify the proper item. For example, you can have selected angles, planets and a square all on the screen at once. If you hit the lt Flgt key do you want the program to add or remove Mercury, add or remove a lx1 angle inside a square or add or remove the lxl selected angle By using the Move To key or icon you remove all doubt. If you forget you will see this reminder box. Make sure you are exactly on a high or low when using this feature. The Left and right arrow. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Account Deficit Much about technical analysis, or who sometimes actively dismiss it, are saying with straight faces the Dow has been above the 55-day moving average for x number of days, or gold is near-ing resistance. These remarks are not really a substitute for fundamental analysis, but in the absence of principles and rules on which to base a forecast, technical indicators will have to do. FIGURE 1 EURO U. S. DOLLAR TECHNICAL INDICATORS FIGURE 1 EURO U. S. DOLLAR TECHNICAL INDICATORS By looking only at the latest corrective move in the Euro dollar, newcomers are making the mistake of neglecting fundamentals. If it was an exceptional event that caused the spike, we need to watch the fallout from that event to predict the price consequences. We may be able to trade better by drawing moving averages and support and resistance lines and Fibonacci retracements. but these technical indicators measure current market sentiment they do not help us understand what is really going on or predict future market. There are the adoring fans purchasing shares instead of tickets, cheering for their favorite team. You also have the cheerleaders, telling you why the stock price is going up or, if the market goes down, they want to keep cheering you up with new hope that the price will soon rise. There are the bookmakers. called stockbrokers, who give you stock quotes over the phone and record your bets. Instead of reading the sports page, you read the financial pages. There are even the equivalent of ticket scalpers, but in the financial world they dont sell over-priced tickets to latecomers they sell over-priced financial tip sheets to people who want to get closer to the inside game. Then there are the hot dog vendors, who also dispense antacid pills, as well as the people who sweep up the mess after the trading day is over. And of course we have the viewers at home. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Tradestation Technologies Because markets are driven by people who are creatures of habit you will begin to see patterns repeated over and over in different markets. For example, after a nice run-up on a five-minute chart in the Samp Ps, you are very likely to see an orderly pullback before the next run-up. Some markets tend to always close in the opposite direction that they opened. Some will tend to reverse between 10 30 and 11ish. Some will close near their high or low and others tend to always close in the middle. Some react perfectly to certain technical indicators while others look like they move randomly. Keep looking for patterns and youll find that a market tends to do things in a somewhat predictable way. You are soon going to be making some very important decisions about what you will be when you grow up, if you havent already made them. I know your dad is encouraging you to go to college so you can get a high-paying job. If you listen to his advice, you will be going in this direction. Rich dad then drew an arrow to the E and S side of the Quadrant. If you listen to me, you will be studying to become a person on this side of the Quadrant. He then drew an arrow to the B and I side of the Quadrant. Last Updated on Thu, 10 Mar 2016 Economic Data The first column in the trending indicator group is the ADX (14) above 25. ADX is the Average Directional Index, which is the most popularly used indicator for determining the strength of a trend. If the index is above 25, this indicates that a trend has developed. Generally speaking, the greater the number, the stronger the trend. The next column uses Bollinger bands. When strong trends develop, the pair will frequently tag and cross either the upper or lower Bollinger band. The next three trend indicators are the longer-term simple moving averages (SMAs). A break above or below these moving averages may also be indicative of a trending environment. With moving averages, crossovers in the direction of the trend can be used as a further confirmation. If there are two or more Xs in this section, traders should be looking for opportunities to buy on dips in an uptrend or sell on rallies in a downtrend rather than selling at the top and buying back at the bottom of the range. The last. Last Updated on Tue, 12 Apr 2016 Forex Surfing I wasnt going to add this topic (as it isnt specific to scalping techniques) but decided to include these thoughts here for you as it can give you a solution to the problems that Ive faced for a while before figuring it out myself. These ideas are useful for you regardless of what style of Forex trading you do, however for a scalper these ideas can be of immense value due to the fact that you want to keep a more constant pulse on the market. The solution that Im about to present isnt for everyone, as it does cost some money, but if you are a serious trader making nice by trading, especially with scalping, then you should consider this idea for yourself. around your home (or elsewhere). What you want to do is to have it turned on and situated wherever you are so you can frequently glance at the charts to see what the market is doing, scanning regularly for potential scalp trading opportunities. If you are in the living room watching television then have it sitting on your coffee. Last Updated on Wed, 27 Apr 2016 Opening Price Momentum is the juice behind the development of overbought and oversold oscillators. According to Newton, momentum is the combination of mass and velocity. Newton said that momentum represents the ability of an object to move in one direction at an even speed until an outside force slows it down or stops it. Methods such as oscillators and basic chart patterns will help you isolate when a trend is in the process of changing, and allow you to wet your beak on some of the volatility that takes place when markets turn. The first step, however, is to use perceived inflection points of tops and bottoms of trends as areas to trade around existing positions. Rid yourself of the belief that for every successful trade there is one entry point and one exit point. The most profitable traders trade around a core position, constantly scaling in and out. If your signal is telling you that the market is forming a top, use that signal to sell part or all of your long position. Refrain from trying to. Last Updated on Wed, 17 Feb 2016 Support Resistance Although it is possible to deal in the FOREX through a dial-up connection, it is recommended that you have a fast digital subscriber line (DSL) or cable setup, especially if the platform you will be using requires continuous reception and update of data feed. If you are a long-term trader who checks the charts only occasionally and who operates mostly with pending limit or stop orders, this will not be a high priority, but a scalper, for example, will need a stable Internet flow and a fairly huge bandwidth, which will allow a fast connection to and from the brokers server. The computer itself doesnt have to possess the ultimate high-tech gadgets, but it should be in optimal condition and properly maintained periodically. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Tradestation Technologies Once you can pinpoint where a market is and know all of its levels you can start planning trades with much less of a gambling factor than if you were just looking at a small amount of data. Good traders will use different technical indicators and systems depending on the market conditions. Their game plan will vary according to where the market is versus its long-term history. They will be able to make smarter decisions as to where to get in and out as the picture gets clearer. All this in turn will make them better traders. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Covered Call Tangible book value per share is assumed to be a corporations liquidation value, or the net value of all assets if the company simply went out of business and paid off stockholders. It is more likely that companies will cease to exist through merger or acquisition, and at a price somewhere at or above tangible book value. Does the worst-case liquidation value of the company also provide a reliable low market price level for the stock In practice, your true support level may have little or nothing to do with the fundamental and tangible value of the corporations assets. Some technicians prefer to identify a chart-based price-support level, but that is also unreliable the history of trading patterns in any given stock is the history of support and resistance levels being broken through and new trading patterns established. This occurred for many companies during 2008, when nearly half of market value was lost for many stocks, and previously established support levels simply. Last Updated on Wed, 16 Mar 2016 Trade Summaries The figures provided in Chapter 2 were either cash market charts, such as spot Interbank foreign exchange (Forex) or cash Samp P 500 index, or they were futures contracts for a specific delivery month. This was fine for showcasing how specific technical indicators can be transformed into trading systems, but to generate 10 years of backtested results for a particular trading system on a portfolio, we need to address the issue of expiration of futures contracts. Last Updated on Fri, 06 Mar 2015 Economic Data Look for reversals in oscillators such as RSI and stochastics. 6. Confirm with price action failure at key range resistances and bounces on key range supports (using traditional technical indicators). Indicators Options, Bollinger bands, stochastics, MACD, RSI, Fibonacci retracement levels. Download Forex Enigma Now The best part is you do not have to wait for Forex Enigma to come in the mail, or drive to a store to get it. You can download it to your computer right now for only 87.00.
Комментарии
Отправить комментарий